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28.09.2026 11:00
Seoul World Cup Stadium
Referee: Ma Ning, China
South Korea
Match Timeline
Uruguay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
D. Nunez · Assist: G. de Arrascaeta
Uruguay
🟨
22'
R. Araujo
Uruguay
⚽
27'
G. de Arrascaeta · Assist: M. Araujo
Uruguay
⚽
43'
G. Varela
Uruguay
🔄
46'
Lee Tae-Seok ↔ M. Kim
South Korea
🔄
46'
Kim Bong-Soo ↔ Cho Hyun-Taek
South Korea
🔄
46'
Hwang Hee-Chan ↔ Park Jin-Seob
South Korea
🔄
46'
Kim Min-Jae ↔ Kim Tae-Hyeon
South Korea
⚽
62'
D. Nunez · Assist: G. Varela
Uruguay
🔄
72'
Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↔ Oh Se-Hun
South Korea
🔄
72'
Lee Jae-Sung ↔ Choi Jun
South Korea
🔄
72'
Seol Young-Woo ↔ T. Park
South Korea
🔄
77'
G. de Arrascaeta ↔ R. Zalazar
Uruguay
⚽
80'
Lee Kang-In · Assist: Lee Han-Beom
South Korea
🔄
81'
Lee Han-Beom ↔ Cho Wi-Je
South Korea
🔄
86'
D. Nunez ↔ R. Aguirre
Uruguay

South Korea vs Uruguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
South Korea Win 67.8%
Draw 6.5%
Uruguay Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
South Korea1.36
Uruguay0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
South Korea South Korea
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Uruguay Uruguay
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
1
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4.63
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

South Korea South Korea 8 matches
Uruguay Uruguay 6 matches
South Korea Statistic Uruguay
4 Wins 0
0 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
11 Goals For 5
8 Goals Against 8
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
1 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 2
4.63 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.25 Total Shots 13
5 Corners 5.5
60.8% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, South Korea won 1 times, Uruguay won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from South Korea's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: South Korea 4-4-2 / Uruguay 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: South Korea wins 1, draws 1, Uruguay wins 2