POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
12.09.2026 12:45
Tarczynski Arena

Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
44.4%
2.80
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.86
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.2%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Slask Wroclaw Win 44.4%
Draw 15.2%
Korona Kielce Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slask Wroclaw1.54
Korona Kielce1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw
WWDLW
35 GF / 22 GA
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WLDWL
17 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
12
BTTS Yes
5
13
Over 2.5
3
3.71
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 16 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 14 matches
Slask Wroclaw Statistic Korona Kielce
6 Wins 6
6 Draws 6
4 Losses 2
35 Goals For 17
22 Goals Against 8
2.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
12 BTTS Yes 5
14 Over 1.5 9
13 Over 2.5 3
8 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 5
3.71 Shots On Goal 3.67
13 Total Shots 13.67
4.29 Corners 4.17
48% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Korona Kielce's more proactive style and Slask Wroclaw's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Korona Kielce carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 8 points while Slask Wroclaw sit 14 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slask Wroclaw expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Korona Kielce in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Korona Kielce having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Korona Kielce.

Slask Wroclaw Analysis

Slask Wroclaw approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 6 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 8:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Piotr Samiec-Talar (2 goals), Przemysław Banaszak (2 goals), Luka Marjanac (1 goals), with creative support from Piotr Samiec-Talar (3 assists), Michał Mokrzycki (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce sit 9 with 8 points after 5 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mariusz Stępiński (3 goals), Morgan Fassbender (1 goals), with creative support from Wiktor Długosz (3 assists), Martin Remacle (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Slask Wroclaw won 1 times, Korona Kielce won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Slask Wroclaw's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2 / Korona Kielce 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Slask Wroclaw wins 1, draws 5, Korona Kielce wins 5

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W W W W
2 7 4 3 0 15:6 9 15
W D D W D
3 6 5 0 1 12:7 5 15
W W L W W
4 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
W D W D L
5 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
L W L W L
6 7 3 1 3 13:13 0 10
W W D L L
7 6 3 0 3 12:9 3 9
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D D D W W
9 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W D W D
10 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D D D W L
11 7 2 2 3 6:8 -2 8
L L W W D
12 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D W D L L
13 7 1 4 2 10:10 0 7
D L D L W
14 7 1 3 3 9:11 -2 6
L D D L D
15 8 1 2 5 9:15 -6 5
L L L D W
16 6 1 2 3 4:11 -7 5
D L L L D
17 6 1 1 4 9:13 -4 4
D L L W L
18 7 1 0 6 8:15 -7 3
W L L L L
Qualifying
EL Qualification
Play-offs
Relegation