SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Skövde AIK Win 29.2%
Draw 16.7%
Lund Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Skövde AIK1.41
Lund1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Skövde AIK Skövde AIK
WWDLW
36 GF / 38 GA
Lund Lund
WLDWL
40 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
15
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 23 matches
Lund Lund 23 matches
Skövde AIK Statistic Lund
8 Wins 11
8 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
36 Goals For 40
38 Goals Against 27
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
15 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
14 Over 2.5 13
10 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lund's more proactive style and Skövde AIK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Lund having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Skövde AIK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lund. Lund carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Skövde AIK sit 12 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Skövde AIK Analysis

Skövde AIK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 16 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lund Analysis

Placed 4 with 26 points from 14 outings, Lund continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 26:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Skövde AIK won 6 times, Lund won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:11 from Skövde AIK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
H2H summary: Skövde AIK wins 6, draws 0, Lund wins 5
Last matches: Skövde AIK
01.08.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Olympic
1
3
L
27.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
2
L
18.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Rosengård
0
3
L
07.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trelleborg
0
4
L
01.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
AFC Malmo
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Eskilsminne
1
1
D
13.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Utsikten
3
2
W
09.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Angelholms FF
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Atvidabergs FF
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Laholm
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Kristianstad
0
0
D
06.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Tvååker
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Norrby IF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
IF Karlstad
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
5
L
28.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Skara
6
2
W
Last matches: Lund
27.06.26
Ett
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
W
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
12.06.26
Ett
Lund
AFC Malmo
1
4
L
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
22.05.26
Ett
Lund
Eskilsminne
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ett
Lund
Utsikten
5
0
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ett
Lund
Tvååker
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ett
Lund
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
21.03.26
Fri
Lund
Angelholms FF
4
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Lund
Ariana
1
3
L
03.03.26
Fri
Lund
IFK Trelleborg
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Lund
Rosengård
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
H2H: Skövde AIK vs Lund
27.06.26
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
L
11.10.25
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
19.06.25
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
3
0
L
02.10.21
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
5
W
24.06.21
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
11.10.20
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
2
0
W
16.08.20
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
0
3
W
24.08.19
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
2
1
L
09.06.19
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
08.09.18
H2H
Lund
Skövde AIK
1
0
L
21.04.18
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
0
2
L
Last matches: Skövde AIK
18.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF
2
2
D
01.06.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Jonkopings Sodra
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
AFC Malmo
0
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Angelholms FF
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Atvidabergs FF
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Laholm
1
0
W
06.04.26
Ett
Skövde AIK
Tvååker
0
0
D
07.03.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Trollhättan
1
5
L
28.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Skara
6
2
W
14.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Tidaholms GoIF
6
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
IFK Skövde
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Skövde AIK
Husqvarna
4
1
W
H2H at home: Skövde AIK
11.10.25
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
24.06.21
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
11.10.20
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
2
0
W
09.06.19
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
W
21.04.18
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
0
2
L
Last matches: Lund
18.06.26
Ett
Lund
Jonkopings Sodra
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ett
Lund
Kristianstad
1
1
D
03.06.26
Ett
Lund
Olympic
3
1
W
13.05.26
Ett
Lund
Laholm
3
4
L
09.05.26
Ett
Lund
Trollhättan
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ett
Lund
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ett
Lund
Angelholms FF
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ett
Lund
Rosengård
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Lund
Kristianstad
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Lund
Eskilsminne
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Lund
Linero
2
0
W
H2H away: Lund
11.10.25
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
24.06.21
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
11.10.20
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
2
0
L
09.06.19
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
1
0
L
21.04.18
H2H
Skövde AIK
Lund
0
2
W

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 9 5 0 33:12 21 32
D W W W W
2 15 8 4 3 30:18 12 28
D W L W W
3 15 7 5 3 30:20 10 26
L D W W D
4
Lund Away
14 7 5 2 26:16 10 26
W D L D W
5 15 7 3 5 29:22 7 24
W W D L W
6 14 6 4 4 23:19 4 22
D L W W L
7 15 7 1 7 25:25 0 22
W W W W D
8 15 6 4 5 19:21 -2 22
D L W W D
9 15 6 2 7 25:28 -3 20
W L W L L
10 14 5 3 6 20:15 5 18
L D L W L
11 15 3 8 4 24:24 0 17
D D L W D
12 15 3 7 5 19:26 -7 16
W D L D L
13 15 3 7 5 12:23 -11 16
L L D L L
14 15 3 5 7 16:24 -8 14
L D L D D
15 15 4 1 10 21:30 -9 13
L W W L L
16 15 1 2 12 12:41 -29 5
D L L L L