Login Register
ARMENIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 15:00
Gyumri City Stadium

Shirak vs Alashkert Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shirak Win 55.4%
Draw 6.9%
Alashkert Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shirak1.36
Alashkert1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shirak Shirak
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Alashkert Alashkert
WLDWL
38 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
4
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shirak Shirak 13 matches
Alashkert Alashkert 22 matches
Shirak Statistic Alashkert
5 Wins 8
2 Draws 8
6 Losses 6
20 Goals For 38
16 Goals Against 24
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
4 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 19
5 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alashkert's more proactive style and Shirak's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alashkert. Shirak have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Alashkert carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 19 points while Shirak sit 7 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Alashkert having the stronger overall control.

Shirak Analysis

Shirak approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 10 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 11:12, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alashkert Analysis

Alashkert come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 19 points from 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 24:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shirak won 4 times, Alashkert won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Shirak's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
H2H summary: Shirak wins 4, draws 4, Alashkert wins 7

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 27:7 20 28
D W W W W
2 10 7 2 1 19:9 10 23
W D W W W
3 10 6 4 0 24:9 15 22
D W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 24:8 16 19
W D D D W
5 10 4 3 3 19:14 5 15
W D W L L
6 10 4 3 3 17:18 -1 15
W L D D L
7 10 3 2 5 12:13 -1 11
D L L L W
8 10 3 2 5 9:16 -7 11
D D W W L
9 10 2 2 6 8:16 -8 8
L L D L W
10 10 2 1 7 8:26 -18 7
L W L W L
11 10 1 2 7 6:22 -16 5
L W L L D
12 10 1 0 9 9:24 -15 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - First League