Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Shelbourne
Waterford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
20 matches
Waterford
24 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 11 |
| 35 | Goals For | 30 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.31 | Shots On Goal | 3.41 |
| 14.25 | Total Shots | 11.88 |
| 5.69 | Corners | 5.12 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 40.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Waterford. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. Shelbourne arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 21 points compared to Waterford in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Shelbourne come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 21 points from 16 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Wood (6 goals), J. Martin (6 goals), Daniel Kelly (4 goals), with creative support from M. Lundgren (3 assists), H. Wood (2 assists), A. Coote (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 17 matches, Waterford have collected 10 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 17:35 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (7 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), P. Amond (3 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), T. Lonergan (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 9 times, Waterford won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:10 from Shelbourne's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Shelbourne
7
2
6
3
6
2
Lineups
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Shelbourne
Celtic
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Galway United
Shelbourne
Longford Town
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
Shelbourne
Drita
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
Shelbourne
Linfield
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Wexford
Waterford
Cork City
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Away
|
24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|