Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.9%
|
2.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.85 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.3%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Shelbourne
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
37 matches
Derry City
35 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 15 | Draws | 13 |
| 10 | Losses | 15 |
| 58 | Goals For | 45 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.03 |
| 11.97 | Total Shots | 11.27 |
| 4.53 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 46.2% | Ball Possession | 45.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Derry City's more proactive style and Shelbourne's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Derry City. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shelbourne expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Derry City in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Placed 5 with 35 points from 27 outings, Shelbourne continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 37:39 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Harry Wood (3 goals), Daniel Kelly (3 goals), John Martin (2 goals), with creative support from Harry Wood (5 assists), John Martin (1 assists), Kerr McInroy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Derry City have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 34 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 41:40 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by James Clarke (5 goals), Kévin Santos (3 goals), Michael Duffy (2 goals), with creative support from Michael Duffy (3 assists), Adam O'Reilly (2 assists), Ben Doherty (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 3 times, Derry City won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Shelbourne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 18 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 56 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Derry City
Away
|
32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 3 | 41 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 5 | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 41:44 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 37 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | -10 | 34 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | -13 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | -30 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|