IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tolka Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derry City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.5
Derry City1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne Shelbourne
WWDLW
47 GF / 40 GA
Derry City Derry City
WLDWL
35 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
22
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shelbourne Shelbourne 29 matches
Derry City Derry City 28 matches
Shelbourne Statistic Derry City
11 Wins 6
12 Draws 11
6 Losses 11
47 Goals For 35
40 Goals Against 37
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
22 BTTS Yes 18
24 Over 1.5 19
20 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 8
4 Shots On Goal 4.08
12.92 Total Shots 12
5.08 Corners 5.38
49.8% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 3 times, Derry City won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Shelbourne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Shelbourne 3-4-3 / Derry City 4-4-2
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 3, draws 8, Derry City wins 4
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
2
1
W
Last matches: Derry City
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
H2H: Shelbourne vs Derry City
25.05.26
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
13.03.26
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
1
D
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
0
L
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
W
01.11.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
0
L
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
06.05.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
1
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
20.10.23
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D
02.06.23
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
Last matches: Shelbourne
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
02.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
0
0
D
21.08.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Linfield
3
1
W
H2H at home: Shelbourne
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
W
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D
Last matches: Derry City
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
W
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
L
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1