Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Shelbourne Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derry City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shelbourne1.52
Derry City1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shelbourne
WWDLW
53 GF / 45 GA
Derry City
WLDWL
37 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.66
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
24
BTTS Yes
20
22
Over 2.5
16
3.59
Shots on Goal
3.77
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Shelbourne
32 matches
Derry City
32 matches
| Shelbourne | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 6 |
| 12 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 53 | Goals For | 37 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.59 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 12.04 | Total Shots | 10.77 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 4.9 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shelbourne won 3 times, Derry City won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Shelbourne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Shelbourne 3-4-3 / Derry City 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shelbourne wins 3, draws 8, Derry City wins 4
Last matches: Shelbourne
02.08.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
23.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
5
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
27.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
2
2
D
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
19.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
2
2
D
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
25.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
16.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
03.07.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
4
L
26.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
0
W
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
H2H: Shelbourne vs Derry City
25.05.26
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
13.03.26
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
W
19.09.25
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
1
D
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
0
L
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
W
01.11.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
0
L
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
06.05.24
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
1
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
20.10.23
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D
02.06.23
H2H
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
Last matches: Shelbourne
23.07.26
UEF
Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
5
2
W
07.07.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Celtic
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
3
L
12.06.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Waterford
2
1
W
08.05.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Drogheda United
3
4
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
3
L
16.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pre
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
2
3
L
20.02.26
Pre
Shelbourne
Galway United
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Longford Town
4
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Shelbourne
Dundalk
2
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Crystal Palace
0
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Shelbourne
Drita
0
1
L
02.10.25
UEF
Shelbourne
BK Hacken
0
0
D
H2H at home: Shelbourne
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
L
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
L
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
W
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D
Last matches: Derry City
02.08.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
2
3
L
22.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
23.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Polessya
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
1
L
H2H away: Derry City
17.04.26
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
2
W
20.06.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
1
W
14.02.25
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
3
1
L
05.08.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
01.04.24
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
0
0
D
30.06.23
H2H
Shelbourne
Derry City
1
1
D
Standings
Premier Division
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Shelbourne
Home
|
25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation