IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Tallaght Stadium
Referee: L. Keating
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Waterford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
G. Burke · Assist: E. Stevens
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
64'
J. Mulraney ↔ A. Matthews
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
64'
J. Byrne ↔ D. Watts
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
G. Burke ↔ A. Greene
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
A. Brennan ↔ M. Asamoah
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
68'
R. Lopes ↔ L. Grace
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
71'
C. Carty ↔ J. Voilas
Waterford
🔄
71'
P. Amond ↔ S. Glenfield
Waterford
🔄
77'
E. McLaughlin ↔ T. Coyle
Waterford
🔄
83'
J. Houston ↔ J. Faria
Waterford
🔄
83'
D. McMenamy ↔ T. Lonergan
Waterford
🟨
85'
Michael Noonan
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
90+3'
Enda Stevens
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
90'
Samuel Glenfield
Waterford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 25.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
25.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 93.8%
Draw 5.5%
Waterford Win 73%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.84
Waterford0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
28 GF / 11 GA
Waterford Waterford
WLDWL
22 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.87
Average Goals Scored
1.16
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
6
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
8
4.31
Shots on Goal
2.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 15 matches
Waterford Waterford 19 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Waterford
9 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
2 Losses 9
28 Goals For 22
11 Goals Against 34
1.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
6 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 7
4.31 Shots On Goal 2.92
12.46 Total Shots 11.5
5.23 Corners 5.08
58.9% Ball Possession 41.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Waterford. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Waterford in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 25 points compared to Waterford in 10 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 25 points from 13 games, Shamrock Rovers bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a 19:11 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Burke (4 goals), R. Lopes (3 goals), Aaron Greene (2 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (3 assists), Cory O'Sullivan (2 assists), T. Sobowale (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Waterford Analysis

Waterford sit 10 with 5 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 9:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Lonergan (3 goals), P. Amond (2 goals), Dean McMenamy (1 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), C. Noonan (1 assists), Evan McLaughlin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 12 times, Waterford won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:13 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (99.3%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1 / Waterford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 12, draws 1, Waterford wins 2
Stats
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
Waterford Waterford
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 0
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
574 Total passes 289
480 Passes accurate 198
1.89 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
Formation
Waterford
E. McGinty
E. McGinty
T. Sobowale
T. Sobowale
R. Lopes
R. Lopes
E. Stevens
🎯
E. Stevens
J. Mulraney
J. Mulraney
M. Healy
M. Healy
J. Byrne
J. Byrne
A. Brennan
A. Brennan
V. Ozhianvuna
V. Ozhianvuna
G. Burke
G. Burke
M. Noonan
M. Noonan
A. Doherty
A. Doherty
J. Houston
J. Houston
H. Cann
H. Cann
K. Long
K. Long
J. Mahon
J. Mahon
B. Couto
B. Couto
E. McLaughlin
E. McLaughlin
D. McMenamy
D. McMenamy
C. Noonan
C. Noonan
C. Carty
C. Carty
P. Amond
P. Amond
Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
E. McGinty
G
22
T. Sobowale
D
4
R. Lopes
↓ 68'
D
3
E. Stevens
🎯 25' 🟨 90+3'
D
11
J. Mulraney
↓ 64'
M
8
M. Healy
M
29
J. Byrne
↓ 64'
M
19
A. Brennan
↓ 68'
M
36
V. Ozhianvuna
10
G. Burke
⚽ 25' ↓ 68'
F
31
M. Noonan
🟨 85'
F
Substitutes
41
A. Noonan
G
2
A. Matthews
↑ 64'
D
9
A. Greene
↑ 68'
F
7
D. Watts
↑ 64'
M
26
J. O'Sullivan
15
M. Asamoah
↑ 68'
F
6
D. Cleary
D
5
L. Grace
↑ 68'
D
88
J. McGovern
F
Waterford 5-3-2
Starting XI
21
A. Doherty
G
2
J. Houston
↓ 83'
D
16
H. Cann
D
13
K. Long
D
5
J. Mahon
D
3
B. Couto
D
8
E. McLaughlin
↓ 77'
M
27
D. McMenamy
↓ 83'
M
10
C. Noonan
M
7
C. Carty
↓ 71'
F
9
P. Amond
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
S. McMullan
G
11
T. Coyle
↑ 77'
F
15
L. Heeney
M
20
J. Voilas
↑ 71'
F
19
S. Glenfield
↑ 71' 🟨 90'
M
17
J. Faria
↑ 83'
M
18
T. Lonergan
↑ 83'
F
22
R. Mansfield
F
43
A. Zborowski
D
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
21.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
07.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
0
2
L
03.07.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
19.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
12.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
1
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
25.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
15.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
0
1
L
08.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
0
1
L
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
03.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
1
D
Last matches: Waterford
10.07.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
1
D
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
19.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
L
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
0
5
L
06.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
4
L
H2H: Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford
19.06.26
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
2
W
01.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
03.04.26
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
22.09.25
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
27.06.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
16.05.25
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
W
11.04.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
01.11.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
1
W
02.08.24
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
06.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
3
L
01.04.24
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
0
2
L
05.11.21
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
3
W
10.09.21
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
18.06.21
H2H
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
W
Last matches: Shamrock Rovers
14.07.26
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Floriana
5
1
W
30.06.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Hibernian
1
0
W
26.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
3
1
W
22.06.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
1
D
29.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
1
0
W
22.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
2
1
W
06.04.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Shelbourne
3
2
W
20.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Galway United
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
1
0
W
23.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pre
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Treaty United
3
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Shamrock Rovers
Longford Town
6
0
W
18.12.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Hamrun Spartans
3
1
W
27.11.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
23.10.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Celje
0
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Santa Clara
0
0
D
14.08.25
UEF
Shamrock Rovers
Ballkani
4
0
W
H2H at home: Shamrock Rovers
01.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
27.06.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
W
11.04.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
01.11.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
1
W
06.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
3
L
04.02.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
0
2
L
10.09.21
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
W
Last matches: Waterford
03.07.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
4
2
W
26.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
2
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
0
5
L
27.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
4
L
13.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Wexford
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cork City
0
1
L
10.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
3
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
2
1
W
H2H away: Waterford
01.05.26
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
L
27.06.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
0
L
11.04.25
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
L
01.11.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
1
L
06.05.24
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
1
3
W
04.02.23
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
0
2
W
10.09.21
H2H
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
2
0
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 5 5 40:22 18 50
W W D W L
2 25 12 7 6 40:27 13 43
W W W L L
3 24 12 6 6 39:20 19 42
D W L W W
4 24 9 8 7 38:36 2 35
L L L W W
5 24 8 10 6 35:35 0 34
W D L D W
6 25 6 11 8 32:31 1 29
L W D L W
7 23 7 6 10 32:39 -7 27
W L L W L
8 24 6 7 11 29:41 -12 25
W L L D L
9 24 4 9 11 33:47 -14 21
D W W L W
10 24 5 5 14 20:40 -20 20
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1