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SPAIN › LA LIGA
29.08.2026 19:30
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Referee: J. Alberola
Sevilla
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
A. Baena · Assist: Lee Kang-In
Atletico Madrid
⚽
26'
A. Lookman · Assist: P. Barrios
Atletico Madrid
⚽
33'
A. Baena · Assist: M. Llorente
Atletico Madrid
🟨
45+4'
Marcos Llorente
Atletico Madrid
🔄
55'
J. Guridi ↔ G. Kochorashvili
Sevilla
🔄
55'
J. Diaz ↔ C. Ejuke
Sevilla
🔄
66'
M. Llorente ↔ J. Gimenez
Atletico Madrid
🔄
66'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
⚽
66'
M. Sierra · Assist: R. Ure
Sevilla
🔄
68'
Peque ↔ I. Romero
Sevilla
🔄
72'
Lee Kang-In ↔ Koke
Atletico Madrid
🔄
80'
M. Sierra ↔ A. Gonzalez
Sevilla
🔄
85'
A. Baena ↔ R. Mendoza
Atletico Madrid
🔄
85'
M. Hjulmand ↔ J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🟨
89'
Isaac Romero
Sevilla
🟨
90+1'
Gabriel Suazo
Sevilla
🟨
90+5'
Marc Pubill
Atletico Madrid

Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 60.6%
Draw 9%
Atletico Madrid Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.4
Atletico Madrid1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla Sevilla
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sevilla Sevilla 9 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 6 matches
Sevilla Statistic Atletico Madrid
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 1
2 Losses 2
12 Goals For 12
7 Goals Against 9
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 5
10 Total Shots 17
2 Corners 5.5
42% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 4 times, Atletico Madrid won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Sevilla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Sevilla 2, Atletico Madrid 5
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 4, draws 3, Atletico Madrid wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2