Sevilla
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.6%
|
3.63 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.97 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
1.27 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 60.6%
Draw 9%
Atletico Madrid Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.4
Atletico Madrid1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sevilla
9 matches
Atletico Madrid
6 matches
| Sevilla | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 12 | Goals For | 12 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 17 |
| 2 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 42% | Ball Possession | 52.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 4 times, Atletico Madrid won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Sevilla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Missing players: Sevilla 2, Atletico Madrid 5
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 4, draws 3, Atletico Madrid wins 8
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Atletico Madrid
Away
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 6 |
Sevilla
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
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