Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Sevilla Win 60.6%
Draw 9%
Atletico Madrid Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sevilla1.24
Atletico Madrid1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sevilla
WWDLW
9 GF / 6 GA
Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
2
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sevilla
8 matches
Atletico Madrid
5 matches
| Sevilla | Statistic | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 9 | Goals For | 10 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 49% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sevilla won 4 times, Atletico Madrid won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:27 from Sevilla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: Sevilla 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sevilla wins 4, draws 3, Atletico Madrid wins 8
Last matches: Sevilla
15.08.26
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Sevilla
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
02.08.26
Fri
Sevilla
Utrecht
1
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
NEC Nijmegen
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
AD Ceuta FC
2
1
W
23.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
Cordoba
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
Juventud Torremolinos
1
0
W
23.05.26
La
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
17.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Madrid
0
1
L
13.05.26
La
Sevilla
Villarreal
3
2
W
09.05.26
La
Sevilla
Espanyol
2
1
W
04.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
26.04.26
La
Sevilla
Osasuna
1
2
L
23.04.26
La
Sevilla
Levante
0
2
L
11.04.26
La
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Sevilla
Oviedo
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Sevilla
Valencia
0
2
L
15.03.26
La
Sevilla
Barcelona
2
5
L
08.03.26
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
19.08.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Malaga
2
0
W
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
4
1
W
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
09.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
H2H: Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid
11.04.26
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
3
0
L
06.04.25
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
08.12.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
4
3
L
11.02.24
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
25.01.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
L
23.12.23
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
04.03.23
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
6
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
15.05.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
1
D
18.12.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
12.01.21
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
L
07.03.20
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
2
2
D
Last matches: Sevilla
15.08.26
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
AD Ceuta FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Sevilla
Juventud Torremolinos
1
0
W
17.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Madrid
0
1
L
09.05.26
La
Sevilla
Espanyol
2
1
W
04.05.26
La
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
11.04.26
La
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
21.03.26
La
Sevilla
Valencia
0
2
L
08.03.26
La
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
14.02.26
La
Sevilla
Alaves
1
1
D
08.02.26
La
Sevilla
Girona
1
1
D
24.01.26
La
Sevilla
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.01.26
La
Sevilla
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
04.01.26
La
Sevilla
Levante
0
3
L
14.12.25
La
Sevilla
Oviedo
4
0
W
30.11.25
La
Sevilla
Real Betis
0
2
L
08.11.25
La
Sevilla
Osasuna
1
0
W
18.10.25
La
Sevilla
Mallorca
1
3
L
05.10.25
La
Sevilla
Barcelona
4
1
W
23.09.25
La
Sevilla
Villarreal
1
2
L
H2H at home: Sevilla
11.04.26
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
06.04.25
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
11.02.24
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
18.12.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
W
04.04.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
14.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Marseille
2
1
W
09.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
1
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Atletico Madrid
Manchester United
1
2
L
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
3
3
D
15.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
3
L
05.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
5
0
W
31.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
0
0
D
21.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Galatasaray
1
1
D
13.01.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
H2H away: Atletico Madrid
11.04.26
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
L
06.04.25
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
11.02.24
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
01.10.22
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W
18.12.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
2
1
L
04.04.21
H2H
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
1
0
L