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BRAZIL › SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Sergipe
FT
3 - 1
Lagarto
Sergipe
Match Timeline
Lagarto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Alessandro
Lagarto
⚽
29'
Felipe Valdivia
Sergipe
⚽
79'
Betinho
Sergipe
⚽
90'
Felipe Valdivia
Sergipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.6%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sergipe Win 61.9%
Draw 5.7%
Lagarto Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sergipe1.73
Lagarto2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sergipe Sergipe
WWDLW
4 GF / 5 GA
Lagarto Lagarto
WLDWL
7 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sergipe Sergipe 3 matches
Lagarto Lagarto 3 matches
Sergipe Statistic Lagarto
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
4 Goals For 7
5 Goals Against 7
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sergipe won 4 times, Lagarto won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Sergipe's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
H2H summary: Sergipe wins 4, draws 6, Lagarto wins 5
Last matches: Sergipe
27.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Treze
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Treze
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Jequié
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Juazeirense
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Penedense
2
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
União Carmolandense
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Barcelona BA
4
1
W
Last matches: Lagarto
27.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Retrô
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Retrô
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
5
4
W
05.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
2
2
D
03.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
União Carmolandense
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Barcelona BA
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Penedense
4
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
ASA
0
1
L
16.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Jequié
2
1
W
11.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Juazeirense
1
2
L
H2H: Sergipe vs Lagarto
16.05.26
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
1
D
25.04.26
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
3
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
0
L
12.07.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
L
03.05.25
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
0
3
W
16.02.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
4
L
06.04.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
1
D
31.01.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
15.03.23
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
2
2
D
18.06.22
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
2
1
L
11.05.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
26.03.22
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
0
2
W
26.02.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
2
1
W
22.05.21
H2H
Lagarto
Sergipe
1
0
L
Last matches: Sergipe
27.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Treze
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
1
W
03.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Jequié
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Penedense
2
0
W
08.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Barcelona BA
4
1
W
25.05.25
Ser
Sergipe
União Carmolandense
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
1
2
L
27.04.25
Ser
Sergipe
Juazeirense
0
0
D
H2H at home: Sergipe
25.04.26
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
3
1
W
12.07.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
L
16.02.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
4
L
06.04.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
31.01.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
11.05.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
2
1
W
Last matches: Lagarto
27.06.26
Ser
Lagarto
CSA
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Treze
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Retrô
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Lagarto
Serra Branca
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Lagarto
Decisão
1
1
D
03.08.25
Ser
Lagarto
Central SC
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
União Carmolandense
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Lagarto
Sergipe
2
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
ASA
0
1
L
11.06.25
Ser
Lagarto
Juazeirense
1
2
L
25.05.25
Ser
Lagarto
Jequié
1
3
L
10.05.25
Ser
Lagarto
Penedense
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Lagarto
Barcelona BA
2
2
D
H2H away: Lagarto
25.04.26
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
3
1
L
12.07.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
W
16.02.25
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
4
W
06.04.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
31.01.24
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
11.05.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Sergipe
Lagarto
2
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Manauara
10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2
Nacional AM
10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3
Sao Raimundo
10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4
Monte Roraima
10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5
Manaus FC
10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6
GAS
10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Guaporé
10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2
Porto Velho
10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3
Araguaína
10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4
Independência
10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5
Galvez
10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6
Humaitá
10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Gama
10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2
Luverdense
10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3
Brasiliense
10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4
Aparecidense
10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5
Primavera MG
10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6
Inhumas
10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Capital Brasilia
10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2
Goiatuba EC
10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3
Ceilândia
10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4
Mixto
10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5
União Rondonópolis
10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6
CEOV Operário
10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Trem
10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2
Águia de Marabá
10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3
Imperatriz
10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4
Tuna Luso
10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5
Tocantinópolis
10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6
Oratório
10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Iguatu
10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2
Maracanã
10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3
Parnahyba
10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4
Sampaio Correa
10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5
Moto Club
10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6
IAPE
10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Ferroviario
10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2
Piauí
10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3
Fluminense PI
10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4
Altos
10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5
WSG Wattens
10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2
America-RN
10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3
Maguary PE
10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4
Central SC
10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5
Sousa
10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6
Laguna
10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Treze
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1
CSA
10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1
Uberlandia
10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1
Democrata GV
10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1
Portuguesa
10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1
XV de Piracicaba
10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1
Santa Catarina
10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1
Blumenau
10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2
Sergipe Home
10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2
Juazeirense
10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2
Ipatinga
10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2
Tombense
10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2
Água Santa
10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2
Noroeste
10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2
Cianorte
10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2
Marcílio Dias
10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3
Serra Branca
10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3
ASA
10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3
CRAC
10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3
Vitória ES
10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3
Portuguesa RJ
10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3
Velo Clube
10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3
Cascavel
10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3
Independiente FSJ
10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4
Lagarto Away
10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4
Jacuipense
10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4
Ivinhema
10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4
Rio Branco ES
10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4
América RJ
10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4
São Luiz
10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4
Sao Jose
10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5
Retrô
10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5
CSE
10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5
ABECAT Ouvidorense
10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5
Porto BA
10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5
Madureira
10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5
Nova Iguaçu
10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5
Joinville
10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5
Brasil DE Pelotas
10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6
Decisão
10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6
Atlético Alagoinhas
10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6
Operario Ferroviario
10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6
Real Noroeste
10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6
Pouso Alegre
10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6
CFRJ / Maricá
10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6
Guarany de Bagé
10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6
Azuriz
10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)