Login Register
RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 13:15
VTB Arena

Dynamo vs CSKA Moscow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Dynamo Win 61.8%
Draw 8.3%
CSKA Moscow Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Dynamo1.78
CSKA Moscow1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Dynamo Dynamo
WWDLW
45 GF / 24 GA
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
WLDWL
43 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
13
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
15
5.5
Shots on Goal
5.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Dynamo Dynamo 23 matches
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 24 matches
Dynamo Statistic CSKA Moscow
14 Wins 10
4 Draws 9
5 Losses 5
45 Goals For 43
24 Goals Against 36
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
13 BTTS Yes 19
17 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
5.5 Shots On Goal 5.8
14.8 Total Shots 16.4
4.6 Corners 4.6
61.4% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Dynamo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and CSKA Moscow in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CSKA Moscow having the stronger overall control. Dynamo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CSKA Moscow. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Dynamo Analysis

Dynamo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 19 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 14:8 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on K. Tyukavin (4 goals), Arthur Gomes (2 goals), V. Okishor (2 goals), with creative support from Bitello (2 assists), Y. Gladyshev (1 assists), M. Osipenko (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

CSKA Moscow Analysis

CSKA Moscow approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 19 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a 15:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on I. Oblyakov (4 goals), L. Gondou (3 goals), K. Glebov (1 goals), with creative support from M. Kislyak (2 assists), L. Gondou (1 assists), K. Glebov (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo won 8 times, CSKA Moscow won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:24 from Dynamo's perspective. 13 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Dynamo 4-3-3 / CSKA Moscow 5-4-1
Missing players: Dynamo 5, CSKA Moscow 3
H2H summary: Dynamo wins 8, draws 2, CSKA Moscow wins 5

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 15:8 7 22
W W W W W
2 10 6 4 0 18:9 9 22
W W D W D
3 10 7 0 3 22:11 11 21
W W W L W
4 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L D D D W
5 10 6 2 2 17:8 9 20
D W W L D
6 10 2 6 2 12:12 0 12
L D D D W
7 10 2 6 2 11:10 1 12
W D L D D
8 10 3 3 4 14:12 2 12
D L D L W
9 10 4 0 6 15:20 -5 12
L L L W L
10 10 2 6 2 14:15 -1 12
D D W D D
11 10 2 5 3 13:13 0 11
D L W D D
12 10 3 2 5 11:17 -6 11
W L L W L
13 10 2 4 4 13:11 2 10
W D L W L
14 10 1 5 4 11:19 -8 8
L W D D D
15 10 1 2 7 10:25 -15 5
L D L L L
16 10 0 3 7 6:18 -12 3
L L D L L
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL