🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.05.2026 02:30
Lumen Field
Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: O. Valakari
San Diego
🟨
51'
Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
🟨
56'
Snyder Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🟨
57'
Cristian Roldán
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
S. Brunell ↔ D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
🔄
63'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ P. Kingston
Seattle Sounders
🔄
65'
Nouhou ↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
74'
A. Pellegrino ↔ A. Mighten
San Diego
🟨
75'
Alex Mighten
San Diego
🟨
78'
Oscar Verhoeven
San Diego
80'
D. Musovski · Assist: C. Roldan
Seattle Sounders
🔄
86'
D. Vazquez ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
86'
L. Bombino ↔ K. Sargeant
San Diego

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 100%
Draw 0%
San Diego Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.73
San Diego1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
28 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
8
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
11
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 17 matches
San Diego San Diego 16 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic San Diego
12 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 7
30 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 27
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
8 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.07
11.77 Total Shots 10
4.31 Corners 4.6
51.1% Ball Possession 58.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and San Diego's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 20 points compared to San Diego in 12 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. San Diego arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Diego.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 20 points from 9 games, Seattle Sounders bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 13:5, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Rothrock (4 goals), C. Roldan (3 goals), A. Rusnak (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnak (3 assists), J. Ferreira (3 assists), J. Morris (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 12 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ingvartsen (7 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), L. Morgan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 1 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 5, San Diego 6
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 1, draws 1, San Diego wins 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 4 4 48:18 30 43
W W L W D
2 22 12 3 7 30:26 4 39
D L W W W
3 23 10 6 7 36:22 14 36
D D L L D
4 22 10 4 8 39:33 6 34
D L L L L
5 22 9 7 6 41:37 4 34
D L W W D
6 22 9 7 6 33:30 3 34
D W D W D
7 22 10 1 11 31:28 3 31
W L W W W
8 22 8 6 8 40:33 7 30
W W L W D
9 22 7 8 7 30:32 -2 29
D W L D D
10 21 8 4 9 34:33 1 28
L L L D D
11 22 8 4 10 39:39 0 28
L D W L W
12 21 7 5 9 24:29 -5 26
D D L L L
13 23 6 8 9 28:35 -7 26
L D W L D
14 22 6 6 10 28:41 -13 24
W D W L L
15 22 4 3 15 20:54 -34 15
L L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)