🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
20.08.2026 01:30
Lumen Field
Referee: A. Chapman
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
S. Gomez ↔ S. Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🟨
48'
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🔄
59'
C. Fodrey ↔ Guilherme Biro
Austin
66'
F. Torres · Assist: Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
69'
J. Ragen ↔ S. Hawkins
Seattle Sounders
🔄
71'
P. Placheta ↔ M. Desler
Austin
🔄
71'
J. Nelson ↔ E. Torres
Austin
🔄
76'
P. Kingston ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
79'
Z. Kolmanic ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
79'
I. Sanchez ↔ B. Sabovic
Austin
87'
Guilherme Biro · Assist: B. Vazquez
Austin
🔄
88'
Nouhou ↔ R. Jauregui
Seattle Sounders
90'
S. Hawkins · Assist: A. Rusnak
Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders vs Austin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 82.6%
Draw 8.7%
Austin Win 8.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.53
Austin1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
37 GF / 33 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
30 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
13
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
16
4.55
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 26 matches
Austin Austin 27 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Austin
13 Wins 6
3 Draws 7
10 Losses 14
37 Goals For 30
33 Goals Against 46
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
13 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
7 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 10
4.55 Shots On Goal 3.95
12.5 Total Shots 10.42
4.36 Corners 4.32
51.1% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Austin. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Austin in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 9 with 24 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 20:22 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Austin Analysis

Austin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 18 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:36, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Christian Ramirez (4 goals), Myrto Uzuni (4 goals), Facundo Torres (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Ervin Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 5 times, Austin won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:11 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / Austin 3-4-3
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 8, Austin 2
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 5, draws 3, Austin wins 4

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)