PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Referee: D. Silva
SC Braga
Match Timeline
Famalicao
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
F. Navarro · Assist: Vitor Carvalho
SC Braga
40'
Gil Dias · Assist: P. Santos
Famalicao
🟨
50'
João Moutinho
SC Braga
65'
Rafa Soares · Assist: Gil Dias
Famalicao
🟨
68'
Gil Dias
Famalicao
🔄
73'
Vitor Carvalho ↔ M. Dorgeles
SC Braga
🔄
73'
J. Moutinho ↔ D. E. Tiknaz
SC Braga
🔄
76'
P. Santos ↔ L. Realpe
Famalicao
🟨
77'
Ibrahima Ba
Famalicao
🔄
78'
F. Navarro ↔ Gorby
SC Braga
🔄
82'
Sorriso ↔ Garcia
Famalicao
🔄
86'
F. Grillitsch ↔ A. El Ouazzani
SC Braga
🟨
88'
Gustaf Lagerbielke
SC Braga
🟨
88'
Simon Elisor
Famalicao
🔄
89'
S. Elisor ↔ U. Abubakar
Famalicao
🟨
90+6'
Justin De Haas
Famalicao
🟨
90+1'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Famalicao
90'
R. Horta
SC Braga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
SC Braga Win 64.7%
Draw 13.6%
Famalicao Win 21.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
SC Braga1.5
Famalicao1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
SC Braga SC Braga
WWDLW
89 GF / 39 GA
Famalicao Famalicao
WLDWL
36 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
20
BTTS Yes
10
25
Over 2.5
11
4.43
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

SC Braga SC Braga 46 matches
Famalicao Famalicao 29 matches
SC Braga Statistic Famalicao
27 Wins 13
11 Draws 8
8 Losses 8
89 Goals For 36
39 Goals Against 25
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
20 BTTS Yes 10
33 Over 1.5 16
25 Over 2.5 11
15 Over 3.5 6
22 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 8
4.43 Shots On Goal 4.38
10.7 Total Shots 12.72
4.74 Corners 5.45
53.8% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Famalicao. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with SC Braga expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Famalicao in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Famalicao having the stronger overall control.

SC Braga Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 52 points from 28 games, SC Braga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by R. Zalazar (15 goals), R. Horta (13 goals), P. Victor (7 goals), with creative support from R. Zalazar (4 assists), R. Horta (4 assists), P. Victor (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Famalicao Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 47 points from 29 games, Famalicao bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Sorriso (5 goals), G. Sa (4 goals), J. De Haas (4 goals), with creative support from Gil Dias (6 assists), Sorriso (4 assists), G. Sa (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, SC Braga won 5 times, Famalicao won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from SC Braga's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
Predicted formations: SC Braga 3-4-2-1 / Famalicao 4-3-3
H2H summary: SC Braga wins 5, draws 7, Famalicao wins 2
Stats
SC Braga SC Braga
Famalicao Famalicao
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
69% Ball Possession 31%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
745 Total passes 336
673 Passes accurate 270
1.59 expected_goals 0.46
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

SC Braga
Formation
Famalicao
L. Hornicek
L. Hornicek
G. Lagerbielke
G. Lagerbielke
Vitor Carvalho
🎯
Vitor Carvalho
Gabriel Moscardo
Gabriel Moscardo
V. Gomez
V. Gomez
J. Moutinho
J. Moutinho
F. Grillitsch
F. Grillitsch
L. Lelo
L. Lelo
P. Victor
P. Victor
R. Horta
R. Horta
F. Navarro
F. Navarro
L. Carevic
L. Carevic
R. Pinheiro
R. Pinheiro
I. Ba
I. Ba
J. De Haas
J. De Haas
Rafa Soares
Rafa Soares
P. Santos
🎯
P. Santos
T. Van de Looi
T. Van de Looi
M. De Amorim
M. De Amorim
Gil Dias
🎯
Gil Dias
S. Elisor
S. Elisor
Sorriso
Sorriso
SC Braga 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hornicek
G
14
G. Lagerbielke
🟨 88'
D
6
Vitor Carvalho
🎯 2' ↓ 73'
D
17
Gabriel Moscardo
D
2
V. Gomez
M
8
J. Moutinho
↓ 73' 🟨 50'
M
27
F. Grillitsch
↓ 86'
M
5
L. Lelo
M
18
P. Victor
F
21
R. Horta
⚽ 90'
F
39
F. Navarro
⚽ 2' ↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
12
T. Sa
G
53
J. Noro
41
Y. da Rocha
M
20
M. Dorgeles
↑ 73'
M
15
P. Oliveira
D
9
A. El Ouazzani
↑ 86'
F
29
Gorby
↑ 78'
M
34
D. E. Tiknaz
↑ 73'
M
90
Luisinho
M
Famalicao 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
L. Carevic
G
17
R. Pinheiro
🟨 90+1'
D
55
I. Ba
🟨 77'
D
16
J. De Haas
🟨 90+6'
D
5
Rafa Soares
⚽ 65'
D
80
P. Santos
🎯 40' ↓ 76'
M
6
T. Van de Looi
M
14
M. De Amorim
M
23
Gil Dias
⚽ 40' 🎯 65' 🟨 68'
F
12
S. Elisor
↓ 89' 🟨 88'
F
7
Sorriso
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Zlobin
G
28
Pedro Bondo
D
77
A. Joujou
F
8
M. Pena
M
47
G. Pastor
M
3
L. Realpe
↑ 76'
D
2
Garcia
↑ 82'
D
15
O. Mamageishvili
M
9
U. Abubakar
↑ 89'
F
Last matches: SC Braga
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
1
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
4
2
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Nacional
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Guimaraes
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Rio Ave
3
0
W
02.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
AVS
4
0
W
Last matches: Famalicao
16.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Alverca
1
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estrela
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Benfica
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Moreirense
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
FC Porto
2
2
D
21.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Nacional
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Guimaraes
2
1
W
06.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Arouca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Rio Ave
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Casa Pia
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Sporting CP
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
AVS
3
1
W
01.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
0
5
L
25.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Tondela
3
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Santa Clara
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Alverca
0
1
L
27.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Estrela
2
3
L
22.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Benfica
0
1
L
14.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
4
0
W
H2H: SC Braga vs Famalicao
19.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
06.12.25
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
1
2
W
25.04.25
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
1
1
D
16.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
3
3
D
18.01.24
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
1
2
W
11.08.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
4
1
W
12.08.22
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
0
3
W
15.05.22
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
3
2
L
09.01.22
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
15.03.21
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.11.20
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
0
W
19.06.20
H2H
Famalicao
SC Braga
0
0
D
03.11.19
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
Last matches: SC Braga
16.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estrela
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
SC Braga
Estoril
1
1
D
30.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
SC Braga
Arouca
1
0
W
08.04.26
UEF
SC Braga
Real Betis
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
FC Porto
1
2
L
18.03.26
UEF
SC Braga
Ferencvarosi TC
4
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
SC Braga
Sporting CP
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Guimaraes
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
SC Braga
Rio Ave
3
0
W
25.01.26
Pri
SC Braga
Alverca
5
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
SC Braga
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
28.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Benfica
2
2
D
15.12.25
Pri
SC Braga
Santa Clara
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
SC Braga
Moreirense
2
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
SC Braga
Genk
3
4
L
26.10.25
Pri
SC Braga
Casa Pia
4
0
W
23.10.25
UEF
SC Braga
FK Crvena Zvezda
2
0
W
28.09.25
Pri
SC Braga
Nacional
0
1
L
24.09.25
UEF
SC Braga
Feyenoord
1
0
W
H2H at home: SC Braga
19.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
3
3
D
11.08.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
4
1
W
09.01.22
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
02.11.20
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
0
W
03.11.19
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
Last matches: Famalicao
11.05.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estrela
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
Estoril
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Famalicao
FC Porto
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Guimaraes
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Famalicao
Rio Ave
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
Sporting CP
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
Famalicao
GIL Vicente
0
5
L
18.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Santa Clara
1
0
W
04.01.26
Pri
Famalicao
Alverca
0
1
L
22.12.25
Pri
Famalicao
Benfica
0
1
L
29.11.25
Pri
Famalicao
Moreirense
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pri
Famalicao
Nacional
1
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Famalicao
Arouca
1
1
D
21.09.25
Pri
Famalicao
Casa Pia
1
1
D
30.08.25
Pri
Famalicao
AVS
1
0
W
16.08.25
Pri
Famalicao
Tondela
1
0
W
H2H away: Famalicao
19.04.26
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
16.12.24
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
3
3
D
11.08.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
4
1
L
09.01.22
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D
02.11.20
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
1
0
L
03.11.19
H2H
SC Braga
Famalicao
2
2
D

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2