NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Sarpsborg Stadion
Referee: K. Hagenes
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
29'
A. Nibe
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
33'
D. Karlsbakk
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
46'
F. Sjolstad ↔ H. Opsahl
Ham-Kam
🟨
52'
A. Ekeroth
Ham-Kam
🟨
58'
A. Hiim
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
61'
D. Benjamin ↔ B. Isufi
Ham-Kam
🔄
68'
A. Nibe ↔ O. Skarsem
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
68'
C. Niyukuri ↔ M. Lode
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
70'
M. Johnsgard ↔ D. Al Saed
Ham-Kam
🟨
71'
H. Opsahl
Ham-Kam
🔄
79'
A. Sher ↔ N. Williams
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🟨
84'
B. Utvik
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
84'
S. Sorli ↔ J. Berget
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
84'
D. Karlsbakk ↔ E. Wichne
Sarpsborg 08 FF
🔄
87'
P. Metcalfe ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.57
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.8%
1.61
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.57
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.3%
1.11
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Sarpsborg 08 FF Win 51.8%
Draw 11.1%
Ham-Kam Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sarpsborg 08 FF1.54
Ham-Kam1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
WWDLW
36 GF / 32 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
36 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
13
BTTS Yes
14
14
Over 2.5
15
4.42
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF 24 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 22 matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF Statistic Ham-Kam
12 Wins 9
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
36 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 35
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
13 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
4.42 Shots On Goal 4.33
12 Total Shots 10.58
4.75 Corners 4.25
43.9% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ham-Kam. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Sarpsborg 08 FF Analysis

From their first 13 matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF have collected 18 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), Claus Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

Ham-Kam sit 7 with 18 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 9 times, Ham-Kam won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:23 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2, Ham-Kam 1
H2H summary: Sarpsborg 08 FF wins 9, draws 3, Ham-Kam wins 3
Stats
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
322 Total passes 514
247 Passes accurate 442
1.60 expected_goals 0.64
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Formation
Ham-Kam
Leander Øy
Leander Øy
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri
Bjorn Utvik
Bjorn Utvik
Magnar Odegaard
Magnar Odegaard
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli
Sander Christiansen
Sander Christiansen
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Marcus Sandberg
Marcus Sandberg
Patrick Metcalfe
Patrick Metcalfe
Martin Gjone
Martin Gjone
Fredrik Sjolstad
Fredrik Sjolstad
Ethan Amundsen-Day
Ethan Amundsen-Day
Anton Ekeroth
Anton Ekeroth
Markus Johnsgard
Markus Johnsgard
Luc Mares
Luc Mares
Aksel Baran Potur
Aksel Baran Potur
Henrik Udahl
Henrik Udahl
David Benjamin
David Benjamin
Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-4-2
Starting XI
87
Leander Øy
G
12
Claus Niyukuri
↓ 68'
D
4
Bjorn Utvik
🟨 84'
D
5
Magnar Odegaard
D
21
Anders Hiim
🟨 58'
D
10
Sondre Sörli
↓ 84'
M
8
Sander Christiansen
M
6
Aimar Sher
↓ 79'
M
33
Andreas Hansen
⚽ 29' ↓ 68'
M
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
↓ 84' 🟨 33'
F
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
F
Substitutes
2
Marius Lode
↑ 68'
D
77
Olaus Skarsem
↑ 68'
M
17
Noa Williams
↑ 79'
M
32
Eirik Wichne
↑ 84'
D
14
Jo Inge Berget
↑ 84'
F
13
Carljohan Eriksson
G
81
Mathias Svenningsen-Grønn
M
18
Bop Guèye
M
7
Camil Mmaee
M
Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Starting XI
12
Marcus Sandberg
G
26
Patrick Metcalfe
↓ 87'
D
2
Martin Gjone
D
23
Fredrik Sjolstad
↓ 46'
D
3
Ethan Amundsen-Day
D
5
Anton Ekeroth
🟨 52'
D
8
Markus Johnsgard
↓ 70' 🟨 27'
M
14
Luc Mares
M
17
Aksel Baran Potur
M
19
Henrik Udahl
F
28
David Benjamin
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
4
Halvor Rodolen Opsahl
↑ 46' 🟨 71'
D
29
Blerton Isufi
↑ 61'
M
24
Danilo Al-Saed
↑ 70'
F
22
Snorre Strand Nilsen
↑ 87'
D
13
Sander Østraat
G
7
Viðar Ari Jónsson
M
6
William Osnes-Ringen
M
18
Gard Simenstad
M
20
Julian Bakkeli Gonstad
F
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
18.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1
3
L
29.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
2
1
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
2
3
L
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
03.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0
4
L
26.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
22.03.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
2
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
0
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
Last matches: Ham-Kam
22.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
18.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Tromso
1
4
L
12.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
2
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
08.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
1
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
26.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Start
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
06.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Brann
1
5
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
14.03.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Viking
2
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lyn
4
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
H2H: Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Ham-Kam
26.07.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
26.03.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.02.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
31.08.25
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
3
W
11.05.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
4
0
W
07.03.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
2
W
16.05.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
7
L
16.03.24
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
0
D
24.09.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
16.07.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
3
L
03.02.23
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
2
W
03.02.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
04.09.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
26.06.22
H2H
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
2
L
Last matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.07.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
1
0
W
25.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
2
1
W
09.05.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eli
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
1
1
D
26.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
3
0
W
19.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
2
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
06.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
3
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
3
0
W
H2H at home: Sarpsborg 08 FF
26.07.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
0
W
26.03.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.02.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
4
0
W
07.03.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
7
L
16.07.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
3
L
03.02.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
04.09.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
W
Last matches: Ham-Kam
22.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.07.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
2
1
W
20.06.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
1
D
29.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
2
2
D
16.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
1
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Ham-Kam
Molde
1
4
L
26.03.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
2
D
25.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
2
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
13.02.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
0
1
L
H2H away: Ham-Kam
26.07.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
0
L
26.03.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
13.02.26
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
3
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
4
0
L
07.03.25
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
16.05.24
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
1
7
W
16.07.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
3
W
03.02.23
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
04.09.22
H2H
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.29
Draw 4.46
Home 1.61
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.13
Draw 2.61
Home 2.17
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 2.75 1.70
Over 3.0 1.93
Over 3.25 2.17
Over 3.5 2.44
Over 4.5 4.25
Under 1.5 5.21
Under 2.5 2.48
Under 2.75 2.21
Under 3.0 1.96
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.60
Under 4.5 1.24
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 4.20
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 3.5 2.38
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.35
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.96
Draw 4.24
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.85
Draw 2.36
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.55
Draw 2.85
Home 1.87
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.05
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.16
Over 2.0 1.20
Over 2.25 1.40
Over 2.5 1.57
Over 2.75 1.71
Over 3.0 1.83
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.29
Over 3.75 2.66
Over 4.0 3.34
Over 4.25 3.68
Over 4.5 4.00
Over 4.75 5.00
Over 5.0 6.90
Over 5.5 7.70
Over 6.5 17.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 13.70
Under 1.0 10.00
Under 1.25 6.77
Under 1.5 4.80
Under 1.75 4.38
Under 2.0 3.92
Under 2.25 3.00
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.16
Under 3.0 1.84
Under 3.25 1.63
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 3.75 1.37
Under 4.0 1.24
Under 4.25 1.20
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 4.75 1.10
Under 5.0 1.04
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 4.00
Home 1.63
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.50
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.85
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.53
Over 3.0 1.85
Over 3.25 2.08
Over 3.5 2.33
Over 3.75 2.70
Over 4.0 3.40
Over 4.25 3.70
Over 4.5 4.00
Under 1.5 4.40
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 3.0 1.82
Under 3.25 1.64
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.0 1.25
Under 4.25 1.22
Under 4.5 1.19

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 37:11 26 35
W W W W D
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 14 8 1 5 22:14 8 25
L W W L L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 14 6 2 6 22:24 -2 20
W W L W L
8 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
9 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
10 14 5 3 6 20:26 -6 18
L L L D D
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 missing
-
S. Rosted
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
F. Carstensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Ham-Kam 1 missing
-
N. Alexandersson
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT