Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.8%
|
1.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
76.3%
|
1.11 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.62 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sarpsborg 08 FF
24 matches
Ham-Kam
22 matches
| Sarpsborg 08 FF | Statistic | Ham-Kam |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 36 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 4.33 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 10.58 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.25 |
| 43.9% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ham-Kam. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sarpsborg 08 FF expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 13 matches, Sarpsborg 08 FF have collected 18 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 14:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Karlsbakk (3 goals), Victor Emanuel Halvorsen (2 goals), Claus Niyukuri (1 goals), with creative support from Claus Niyukuri (3 assists), Sondre Sörli (2 assists), Sander Christiansen (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ham-Kam sit 7 with 18 points after 12 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 20:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Mame Alassane Niang (5 goals), Henrik Udahl (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (3 goals), with creative support from Patrick Metcalfe (3 assists), Martin Gjone (2 assists), Viðar Ari Jónsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 9 times, Ham-Kam won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:23 from Sarpsborg 08 FF's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
1
6
9
3
0
Lineups
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BK
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
Tromso
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Start
Ham-Kam
KFUM Oslo
Ham-Kam
Molde
Ham-Kam
Brann
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Viking
Ham-Kam
Lyn
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Molde
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Start
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
BK Hacken
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Zbrojovka Brno
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Moss
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Osters IF
Ham-Kam
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
Sandefjord
Ham-Kam
IFK Goteborg
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Fredrikstad
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Molde
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Haugesund
Ham-Kam
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:11 | 26 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:14 | 20 | 34 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 25 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
| 7 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:24 | -2 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Ham-Kam
Away
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 18 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 10 |
W
L
L
L
W
|