FINLAND YKKöSLIIGA
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Markku.fi Areena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 74.2%
Odds 1.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
74.2%
1.14
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
KäPa Win 25.8%
Draw 22.4%
JIPPO Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
KäPa0.99
JIPPO1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
KäPa KäPa
WWDLW
24 GF / 35 GA
JIPPO JIPPO
WLDWL
29 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KäPa KäPa 22 matches
JIPPO JIPPO 24 matches
KäPa Statistic JIPPO
6 Wins 10
4 Draws 9
12 Losses 5
24 Goals For 29
35 Goals Against 20
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by JIPPO's more proactive style and KäPa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward JIPPO. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. JIPPO carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 31 points while KäPa sit 8 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward JIPPO having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. KäPa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

KäPa Analysis

KäPa approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 16 points from 18 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:30, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

JIPPO Analysis

JIPPO come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 31 points after 18 matches. The return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 24:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, KäPa won 1 times, JIPPO won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:22 from KäPa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.58 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: KäPa wins 1, draws 4, JIPPO wins 7
Last matches: KäPa
15.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
29.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
1
3
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
1
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
13.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
3
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Haka
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
MP
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
06.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
Last matches: JIPPO
15.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
1
L
07.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
0
3
L
30.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
1
0
W
25.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
1
1
D
15.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
2
0
W
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
27.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
W
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
09.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
06.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
JäPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
Lahti
1
1
D
H2H: KäPa vs JIPPO
13.06.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
0
L
02.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
07.03.26
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
L
29.06.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
3
1
L
04.05.25
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
1
L
25.08.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
2
1
W
17.07.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
4
L
18.05.24
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
JIPPO
KäPa
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
0
D
Last matches: KäPa
08.08.26
Ykk
KäPa
EIF
0
1
L
21.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
Klubi-04
0
2
L
17.07.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
3
1
W
05.06.26
Ykk
KäPa
Kooteepee
1
2
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JäPS
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
PK-35
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KäPa
SJK Akatemia
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
KäPa
VJS
0
1
L
H2H at home: KäPa
02.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
L
04.05.25
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
2
1
W
17.07.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
4
L
09.07.22
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
0
D
Last matches: JIPPO
07.08.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
0
3
L
25.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
PK-35
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Klubi-04
2
0
W
03.07.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Kooteepee
3
3
D
09.06.26
Ykk
JIPPO
SJK Akatemia
0
0
D
29.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
Haka
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
MP
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ykk
JIPPO
KäPa
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
JIPPO
EIF
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
Lahti
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
JIPPO
KuPS
0
1
L
18.01.26
Fri
JIPPO
AC Oulu
1
1
D
H2H away: JIPPO
02.05.26
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
2
W
04.05.25
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
1
D
25.08.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
2
1
L
17.07.24
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
1
4
W
09.07.22
H2H
KäPa
JIPPO
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.57
Draw 4.04
Home 5.31
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.09
Draw 2.37
Home 5.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 2.04
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.5 3.02
Over 4.5 5.69
Under 1.5 3.74
Under 2.0 2.94
Under 2.25 2.30
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 2.75 1.77
Under 3.0 1.55
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.55
Draw 3.70
Home 5.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 2.30
Home 5.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.91
Draw 2.60
Home 5.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.53
Draw 3.90
Home 5.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.26
Home 5.47
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.86
Draw 2.69
Home 5.11
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 1.75 1.24
Over 2.0 1.31
Over 2.25 1.54
Over 2.5 1.71
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.15
Over 3.25 2.42
Over 3.5 2.70
Over 3.75 3.20
Over 4.0 4.20
Over 4.25 4.54
Over 4.5 4.85
Over 4.75 6.05
Over 5.0 8.30
Over 5.5 8.80
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.10
Under 0.75 8.60
Under 1.0 8.80
Under 1.25 5.04
Under 1.5 3.72
Under 1.75 3.34
Under 2.0 2.92
Under 2.25 2.33
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 2.75 1.77
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.44
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 3.75 1.26
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 4.75 1.06
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 3.90
Home 4.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.40
Home 4.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 3.5 2.48
Under 1.5 3.70
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.43

Standings

Ykkösliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 33:20 13 42
W W W D L
2 19 11 5 3 31:14 17 38
D W L D W
3 19 11 4 4 38:20 18 37
W W W W D
4
JIPPO Away
19 8 7 4 24:16 8 31
L L W D W
5 19 9 1 9 18:26 -8 28
L W L W W
6 19 8 2 9 26:30 -4 26
W W W D L
7 19 6 3 10 19:26 -7 21
L L W D L
8
KäPa Home
19 4 4 11 20:32 -12 16
L L L L L
9 19 2 7 10 15:24 -9 13
D L L L W
10 19 2 6 11 9:25 -16 12
W L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Promotion)
Ykkosliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Ykkonen