BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
São Luiz
Match Timeline
Blumenau
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
Thiago Andre
São Luiz
90'
Wellisson
Blumenau

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Luiz Win 36.4%
Draw 7%
Blumenau Win 56.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Luiz0.92
Blumenau1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Luiz São Luiz
WWDLW
11 GF / 11 GA
Blumenau Blumenau
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Luiz São Luiz 11 matches
Blumenau Blumenau 10 matches
São Luiz Statistic Blumenau
4 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 3
11 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Blumenau. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Blumenau having the stronger overall control.

São Luiz Analysis

São Luiz come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 15 points from 10 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 11:9 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Brandao (3 goals), Thiago Andre (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Blumenau Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Blumenau arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 19 points after 10 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:8, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Brown (4 goals), Josue (3 goals), Emerson Silva (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, São Luiz won 0 times, Blumenau won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from São Luiz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: São Luiz wins 0, draws 2, Blumenau wins 0
Last matches: São Luiz
04.07.26
Ser
São Luiz
Velo Clube
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
14.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
Last matches: Blumenau
27.06.26
Ser
Blumenau
São Luiz
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
4
2
W
16.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
3
0
W
H2H: São Luiz vs Blumenau
27.06.26
H2H
Blumenau
São Luiz
1
1
D
20.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
Last matches: São Luiz
07.06.26
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cianorte
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Santa Catarina
4
4
D
11.04.26
Ser
São Luiz
Cascavel
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
São Luiz
Ypiranga-RS
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
São Luiz
Barra
0
2
L
30.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Sao Jose
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
São Luiz
Marcílio Dias
3
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Joinville
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
São Luiz
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
São Luiz
Azuriz
1
2
L
H2H at home: São Luiz
20.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D
Last matches: Blumenau
31.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
4
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
3
0
W
H2H away: Blumenau
20.06.26
H2H
São Luiz
Blumenau
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)