BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Francisco Novelletto Neto
Sao Jose
Match Timeline
Independiente FSJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
72'
Fabio Rampi
Sao Jose

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
77.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sao Jose Win 31%
Draw 21.1%
Independiente FSJ Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Jose0.45
Independiente FSJ0.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Jose Sao Jose
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
3
BTTS Yes
0
2
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sao Jose Sao Jose 8 matches
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 8 matches
Sao Jose Statistic Independiente FSJ
1 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
4 Goals For 3
8 Goals Against 3
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.38
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
3 BTTS Yes 0
4 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Independiente FSJ having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente FSJ carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 12 points while Sao Jose sit 5 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente FSJ.

Sao Jose Analysis

Sao Jose come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 7 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 4:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independiente FSJ Analysis

Independiente FSJ arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 12 points after 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 3:3 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Sao Jose won 1 times, Independiente FSJ won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Sao Jose's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.9%)
H2H summary: Sao Jose wins 1, draws 0, Independiente FSJ wins 1
Last matches: Sao Jose
18.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H: Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ
31.05.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
11.04.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
L
Last matches: Sao Jose
18.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Treze
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Portuguesa RJ
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Santa Catarina
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Jose
Blumenau
0
3
L
09.08.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Guarany de Bagé
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Barra
3
3
D
31.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Azuriz
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Sao Jose
São Luiz
3
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Sao Jose
Joinville
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sao Jose
31.05.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Independiente FSJ
31.05.26
H2H
Sao Jose
Independiente FSJ
1
0
L

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)