BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Referee: G. Bauermann
São Bernardo
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
Romisson ↔ Hyoran
São Bernardo
19'
F. Elizari · Assist: Felipe Amaral
America Mineiro
🟨
22'
Léo Alaba
America Mineiro
🔄
23'
Felipe Amaral ↔ O. Goncalves
America Mineiro
🟨
25'
Hyoran
São Bernardo
🟨
38'
Gustavo
America Mineiro
🟨
41'
Matías Segovia
America Mineiro
🟨
43'
Helder Maciel
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Daniel Amorim ↔ Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🔄
46'
Artur ↔ Dalbert
America Mineiro
🔄
64'
Echapora ↔ Lucas Rian
São Bernardo
🔄
64'
Pedro Vitor ↔ D. Davi
São Bernardo
🔄
74'
Helder Maciel ↔ Jemerson
São Bernardo
🔄
74'
Everton Brito ↔ Thauan
America Mineiro
🔄
74'
Nathan Pelae ↔ Paulinho
America Mineiro
🟨
78'
Felipe Garcia
São Bernardo
🟨
78'
Rafael Barcelos
America Mineiro
🔄
82'
M. Segovia ↔ Jhonny
America Mineiro
85'
D. Davi
São Bernardo
🟨
90+3'
Alê
America Mineiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 28.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
28.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
São Bernardo Win 100%
Draw 0%
America Mineiro Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
São Bernardo1.85
America Mineiro0.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
São Bernardo São Bernardo
WWDLW
14 GF / 6 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
4 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
0.5
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
2
4
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
3.75
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

São Bernardo São Bernardo 8 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 8 matches
São Bernardo Statistic America Mineiro
5 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
14 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 16
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 2
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 4
3.75 Shots On Goal 4.13
9.5 Total Shots 12.88
3.25 Corners 6.75
41.1% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by São Bernardo's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward America Mineiro. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with São Bernardo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and America Mineiro in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America Mineiro having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. São Bernardo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 13 points compared to America Mineiro in 20 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. São Bernardo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

São Bernardo Analysis

São Bernardo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 13 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, with a 11:5 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Foguinho (2 goals), Para (2 goals), Daniel Amorim (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), Fabricio Daniel (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 2 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 4:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), Paulinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, São Bernardo won 0 times, America Mineiro won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from São Bernardo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: São Bernardo 4-3-3 / America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: São Bernardo wins 0, draws 1, America Mineiro wins 0
Stats
São Bernardo São Bernardo
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 7
16 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 2
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
416 Total passes 439
362 Passes accurate 373
1.27 expected_goals 0.49
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

São Bernardo
Formation
America Mineiro
Alex Alves
Alex Alves
Rodrigo Ferreira
Rodrigo Ferreira
Helder Maciel
Helder Maciel
Augusto
Augusto
Para
Para
Marcao Silva
Marcao Silva
Romisson
Romisson
Pedro Vitor
Pedro Vitor
Dudu Miraima
Dudu Miraima
Echapora
Echapora
Daniel Amorim
Daniel Amorim
Gustavo
Gustavo
Leo Alaba
Leo Alaba
Nathan Pelae
Nathan Pelae
Rafa Barcelos
Rafa Barcelos
Artur
Artur
Ale
Ale
M. Segovia
M. Segovia
Felipe Amaral
🎯
Felipe Amaral
F. Elizari
F. Elizari
Everton Brito
Everton Brito
Gonzalo Mastriani
Gonzalo Mastriani
São Bernardo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Alex Alves
G
2
Rodrigo Ferreira
D
3
Helder Maciel
↓ 74' 🟨 43'
D
97
Augusto
D
6
Para
D
77
Marcao Silva
M
17
Romisson
↓ 17'
M
11
Pedro Vitor
↓ 64'
M
26
Dudu Miraima
M
27
Echapora
↓ 64'
M
89
Daniel Amorim
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
Junior Oliveira
G
30
Junior Urso
M
22
Pablo Dyego
F
42
Hyoran
↑ 17' 🟨 25'
M
31
Lucas Fernandes
M
90
Luizao
7
Lucas Rian
↑ 64'
F
9
Felipe Garcia
↑ 46' 🟨 78'
F
37
D. Davi
⚽ 85' ↑ 64'
F
35
Jemerson
↑ 74'
D
33
Mario Sergio
D
21
Hugo Sanches
D
America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
🟨 38'
G
22
Leo Alaba
🟨 22'
D
3
Nathan Pelae
↓ 74'
D
4
Rafa Barcelos
🟨 78'
D
96
Artur
↓ 46'
D
16
Ale
🟨 90+3'
M
77
M. Segovia
↓ 82' 🟨 41'
M
8
Felipe Amaral
🎯 19' ↓ 23'
M
5
F. Elizari
⚽ 19'
M
23
Everton Brito
↓ 74'
M
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
F
Substitutes
19
William
G
9
Willian Bigode
F
29
Dalbert
↑ 46'
D
11
Thauan
↑ 74'
88
Jhonatan Lima
F
67
Yarlen
F
42
Jhonny
↑ 82'
D
6
Paulinho
↑ 74'
D
10
Yago Souza
M
55
O. Goncalves
↑ 23'
M
Last matches: São Bernardo
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
1
2
L
27.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Criciuma
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
07.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
CRB
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
12.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Londrina
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
3
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ceara
1
1
D
Last matches: America Mineiro
13.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H: São Bernardo vs America Mineiro
16.05.26
H2H
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
Last matches: São Bernardo
12.07.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Juventude
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Goias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
1
2
L
H2H at home: São Bernardo
16.05.26
H2H
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D
Last matches: America Mineiro
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
3
L
H2H away: America Mineiro
16.05.26
H2H
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 9 6 2 20:12 8 33
W W W W D
2 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W L W L
3 17 9 4 4 22:18 4 31
W W W W L
4 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L W W W D
5 17 8 5 4 17:8 9 29
W D W W W
6 17 8 4 5 20:17 3 28
L W W D L
7 17 7 5 5 23:16 7 26
D L L L D
8 17 6 8 3 21:15 6 26
D L L D D
9 17 7 4 6 18:23 -5 25
D W W L D
10 17 6 6 5 19:19 0 24
W L W D D
11 17 5 9 3 14:11 3 24
D W D L W
12 16 5 7 4 16:16 0 22
L W L D D
13 17 6 3 8 21:21 0 21
L D L L D
14 17 5 5 7 20:18 2 20
D W L W W
15 17 5 5 7 26:31 -5 20
D L W D D
16 16 5 3 8 24:24 0 18
W D W W L
17 16 4 5 7 15:20 -5 17
L L L D W
18 17 4 4 9 18:24 -6 16
W L L W L
19 17 2 2 13 11:33 -22 8
L L L L L
20 16 1 3 12 10:27 -17 6
L L L W L
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