Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
20 matches
Chapecoense-sc
20 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 30 | Goals For | 19 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.95 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.32 |
| 12.32 | Total Shots | 12.68 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.84 |
| 48.5% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Santos arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 21 points compared to Chapecoense-sc in 20 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chapecoense-sc.
Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 21 points from 19 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 27:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (4 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 9 points from 17 games and a place of 20, Chapecoense-sc still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 17:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Neto Pessoa (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Walter Clar (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 9 times, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:13 from Santos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Santos
7
3
7
1
7
1
Lineups
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 44 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Home
|
23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Away
|
23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|