Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.1%
|
2.79 | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.40 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
13.00 |
Santa Fe
Millonarios
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santa Fe
35 matches
Millonarios
29 matches
| Santa Fe | Statistic | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 10 |
| 16 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 11 |
| 49 | Goals For | 37 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.41 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 12.15 | Total Shots | 15.28 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 5.88 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Millonarios. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Millonarios in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Millonarios having the stronger overall control.
Santa Fe are currently 7 in the standings with 29 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), Hugo Rodallega (1 goals), Jader Obrian (1 goals), with creative support from Nahuel Bustos (1 assists), Franco Fagúndez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Millonarios are currently 10 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 31:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rodrigo Contreras (1 goals), Andrés Llinás (1 goals), Leonardo Castro (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Contreras (1 assists), Francisco Chaverra (1 assists), Andrey Estupiñán (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 3 times, Millonarios won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Santa Fe
Home
|
19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Millonarios
Away
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
W
D
D
L
L
|