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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
23.09.2026 01:00
Estadio El Campin
Referee: Alejandro Moncada Sanchez, Colombia
Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Deportivo Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Léyser Chaverra
Deportivo Cali
⚽
38'
E. Bello · Assist: J. Martinez
Deportivo Cali
VAR
39'
Johan Martínez
Deportivo Cali
🔄
59'
A. Zapata ↔ M. Lovera
Santa Fe
🟨
64'
Juan Dinenno
Deportivo Cali
🔄
65'
J. Dinenno ↔ Titi
Deportivo Cali
🔄
66'
J. Torres ↔ K. D. Toscano Bassa
Santa Fe
🔄
74'
C. Mafla ↔ J. Angulo
Santa Fe
🔄
74'
J. Obrian ↔ L. Palacios
Santa Fe
🔄
74'
V. Moreno ↔ N. Bustos
Santa Fe
🔄
75'
J. Martinez ↔ A. Manyoma
Deportivo Cali
🟨
76'
Kilian Toscano
Santa Fe
🔄
76'
E. Bello ↔ E. Reynoso
Deportivo Cali
VAR
85'
Daniel Torres
Santa Fe
🟥
87'
Daniel Torres
Santa Fe
🔄
88'
D. Giraldo ↔ J. Moya
Deportivo Cali
🟨
90+5'
Franco Fagúndez
Santa Fe

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Santa Fe Win 55.9%
Draw 9.8%
Deportivo Cali Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Fe1.23
Deportivo Cali1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WWDLW
59 GF / 44 GA
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WLDWL
36 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
28
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
9
4.58
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Fe Santa Fe 39 matches
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 30 matches
Santa Fe Statistic Deportivo Cali
14 Wins 12
17 Draws 10
8 Losses 8
59 Goals For 36
44 Goals Against 24
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
28 BTTS Yes 13
32 Over 1.5 20
19 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 8
4.58 Shots On Goal 4.07
12.16 Total Shots 12.39
4.55 Corners 4.43
47% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Cali. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Santa Fe Analysis

So far, Santa Fe have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 29 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 29:22 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Rodallega (13 goals), N. Bustos (7 goals), Omar Fernández (5 goals), with creative support from Omar Fernández (8 assists), N. Bustos (5 assists), F. Fagúndez (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rodríguez (9 goals), A. Hurtado (5 goals), J. Martínez (4 goals), with creative support from J. Martínez (6 assists), S. Rodríguez (2 assists), J. Dinenno (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 7 times, Deportivo Cali won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Santa Fe 4-4-2 / Deportivo Cali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Santa Fe wins 7, draws 5, Deportivo Cali wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W W D L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L D D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W L L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W W D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W L L L D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L D D
Post season qualification