COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Referee: J. Ortiz
Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Chico
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Nahuel Bustos
Santa Fe
🔄
46'
O. Fernandez ↔ A. Zapata
Santa Fe
🔄
46'
K. D. Toscano Bassa ↔ F. Fagundez
Santa Fe
🔄
46'
N. Bustos ↔ M. Lovera
Santa Fe
54'
H. Rodallega · Assist: F. Fagundez
Santa Fe
🔄
63'
J. Angulo ↔ C. Mafla
Santa Fe
🔄
70'
A. Mosquera ↔ W. Asprilla
Santa Fe
🔄
72'
I. Camargo ↔ F. Cifuentes
Chico
76'
J. Palma
Santa Fe
🔄
78'
Y. Cabrera ↔ E. Sarria
Chico
🟨
87'
Delio Ramírez
Chico
🔄
90+1'
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa ↔ S. Viveros
Chico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Fe Win 88%
Draw 6%
Chico Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Fe1.64
Chico0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WWDLW
46 GF / 38 GA
Chico Chico
WLDWL
15 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
24
BTTS Yes
4
16
Over 2.5
10
4.48
Shots on Goal
3.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Fe Santa Fe 32 matches
Chico Chico 20 matches
Santa Fe Statistic Chico
10 Wins 5
14 Draws 2
8 Losses 13
46 Goals For 15
38 Goals Against 39
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
24 BTTS Yes 4
27 Over 1.5 14
16 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 12
4.48 Shots On Goal 3.1
12.03 Total Shots 9.85
4.35 Corners 3.6
46.8% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Santa Fe's more proactive style and Chico's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Chico. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Santa Fe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 29 points compared to Chico in 18 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chico in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chico having the stronger overall control. Chico arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Santa Fe Analysis

Santa Fe sit 7 with 29 points after 19 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 29:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Chico Analysis

Chico approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 17 points from 19 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 9 times, Chico won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from Santa Fe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Santa Fe 4-3-3 / Chico 4-4-2
H2H summary: Santa Fe wins 9, draws 5, Chico wins 1
Stats
Santa Fe Santa Fe
Chico Chico
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
0
2 Corner Kicks 0
8 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 3
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 0
6 Shots insidebox 2
2 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
520 Total passes 398
434 Passes accurate 322
0.93 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Santa Fe
Formation
Chico
A. Mosquera
A. Mosquera
H. Palacios
H. Palacios
E. Olivera
E. Olivera
K. Balanta
K. Balanta
J. Angulo
J. Angulo
D. Torres
D. Torres
K. D. Toscano Bassa
K. D. Toscano Bassa
J. Obrian
J. Obrian
N. Bustos
N. Bustos
O. Fernandez
O. Fernandez
H. Rodallega
H. Rodallega
B. Zapata
B. Zapata
C. Mosquera
C. Mosquera
J. Mena
J. Mena
J. Palma
J. Palma
C. Blanco Betancur
C. Blanco Betancur
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
S. Salazar
S. Salazar
Y. Cabrera
Y. Cabrera
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
S. Mera
S. Mera
I. Camargo
I. Camargo
Santa Fe 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Mosquera
↓ 70'
G
13
H. Palacios
D
18
E. Olivera
D
35
K. Balanta
D
24
J. Angulo
↓ 63'
D
16
D. Torres
M
6
K. D. Toscano Bassa
↓ 46'
M
77
J. Obrian
M
19
N. Bustos
↓ 46' 🟨 40'
M
8
O. Fernandez
↓ 46'
M
11
H. Rodallega
⚽ 54'
F
Substitutes
12
W. Asprilla
↑ 70'
G
32
C. Mafla
↑ 63'
D
10
A. Zapata
↑ 46'
M
9
F. Fagundez
🎯 54' ↑ 46'
F
17
M. Lovera
↑ 46'
F
14
L. Palacios
F
7
J. Torres
F
40
M. Cuesta
Chico 4-5-1
Starting XI
12
B. Zapata
G
24
C. Mosquera
D
4
J. Mena
D
25
J. Palma
⚽ 76'
D
14
C. Blanco Betancur
D
11
D. A. Ramirez Raigosa
↓ 90+1' 🟨 87'
M
8
S. Salazar
M
10
Y. Cabrera
↓ 78'
M
6
J. Diaz
M
16
S. Mera
9
I. Camargo
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Agudelo
G
21
J. Pimentel
F
7
F. Cifuentes
↑ 72'
2
D. Polanco
D
5
J. Alomia
D
17
E. Sarria
↑ 78'
F
20
S. Viveros
↑ 90+1'
Last matches: Santa Fe
03.08.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Once Caldas
2
2
D
26.07.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Santa Fe
Penarol
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Junior
0
0
D
20.05.26
CON
Santa Fe
Platense
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Junior
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
America de Cali
4
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
America de Cali
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Santa Fe
Corinthians
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogota
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Santa Fe
Platense
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pasto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Cucuta
5
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Santa Fe
Corinthians
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Millonarios
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Santa Fe
Penarol
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
2
2
D
01.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Llaneros
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
23.03.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
Last matches: Chico
02.08.26
Pri
Chico
America de Cali
0
7
L
02.05.26
Pri
Chico
Llaneros
3
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Chico
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Chico
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Chico
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
02.04.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pereira
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Chico
Cucuta
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportes Tolima
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Chico
Millonarios
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Chico
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
12.02.26
Pri
Chico
Jaguares
5
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Chico
Santa Fe
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Chico
America de Cali
0
1
L
17.01.26
Pri
Chico
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
H2H: Santa Fe vs Chico
08.08.26
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
0
1
W
18.10.25
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
0
0
D
27.04.25
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
0
0
D
11.10.24
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
W
26.02.24
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
1
2
W
13.09.23
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
1
1
D
01.04.23
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
W
25.02.21
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
25.10.20
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
W
11.04.19
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
1
D
21.03.19
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
2
2
D
15.09.18
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
24.03.18
H2H
Chico
Santa Fe
3
1
L
03.07.16
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
W
Last matches: Santa Fe
03.08.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Once Caldas
2
2
D
20.05.26
CON
Santa Fe
Platense
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Junior
1
1
D
13.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
America de Cali
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Santa Fe
Corinthians
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Internacional de Bogota
3
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Cucuta
5
0
W
10.04.26
CON
Santa Fe
Penarol
1
1
D
01.04.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Llaneros
0
1
L
23.03.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
26.02.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Atletico Nacional
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Junior
2
1
W
28.01.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
19.01.26
Pri
Santa Fe
Águilas Doradas
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Santa Fe
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
3
L
09.12.25
Pri
Santa Fe
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
26.11.25
Pri
Santa Fe
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
22.11.25
Pri
Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
3
0
W
14.11.25
Pri
Santa Fe
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
W
H2H at home: Santa Fe
08.08.26
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
0
0
D
11.10.24
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
W
01.04.23
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
W
25.02.21
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
25.10.20
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
W
11.04.19
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
1
D
15.09.18
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
W
03.07.16
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
W
Last matches: Chico
02.08.26
Pri
Chico
America de Cali
0
7
L
27.04.26
Pri
Chico
Internacional de Bogota
0
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Chico
Independiente Medellin
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Chico
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
28.03.26
Pri
Chico
Cucuta
0
1
L
18.03.26
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
3
L
28.01.26
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Chico
Atletico Nacional
0
4
L
09.11.25
Pri
Chico
Alianza Valledupar
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Chico
Envigado
2
0
W
14.10.25
Pri
Chico
Fortaleza FC
0
1
L
26.09.25
Pri
Chico
Once Caldas
2
5
L
15.09.25
Pri
Chico
Deportes Tolima
0
4
L
05.09.25
Pri
Chico
Deportivo Pasto
0
2
L
16.08.25
Pri
Chico
Águilas Doradas
0
2
L
02.08.25
Pri
Chico
Junior
0
2
L
23.07.25
Pri
Chico
Llaneros
1
2
L
H2H away: Chico
08.08.26
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
0
0
D
11.10.24
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
L
01.04.23
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
L
25.02.21
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
L
25.10.20
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
3
1
L
11.04.19
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
1
D
15.09.18
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
2
0
L
03.07.16
H2H
Santa Fe
Chico
1
0
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L W L L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18
Chico Away
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L L D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification