COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
22.08.2026 23:10
Estadio El Campin
Referee: Alejandro Moncada Sanchez
Santa Fe
Match Timeline
America de Cali
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Rafael Carrascal
America de Cali
🟨
33'
Franco Fagúndez
Santa Fe
🟨
38'
Luis Quiñones
America de Cali
🔄
57'
E. Tortolero ↔ J. Lucumi
America de Cali
🔄
62'
M. Lovera ↔ H. Rodallega
Santa Fe
🔄
62'
N. Bustos ↔ E. Rodriguez
Santa Fe
🔄
70'
K. Balanta ↔ E. Olivera
Santa Fe
🔄
70'
L. Palacios ↔ J. Obrian
Santa Fe
🟨
74'
Jan Lucumí
America de Cali
🔄
77'
T. Angel ↔ A. Ramos
America de Cali
🔄
77'
L. Quinones ↔ J. Murillo
America de Cali
🔄
83'
K. D. Toscano Bassa ↔ A. Zapata
Santa Fe
🔄
89'
O. Bertel ↔ M. Mina
America de Cali
🔄
89'
R. Carrascal ↔ Y. Quintero
America de Cali

Santa Fe vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Santa Fe Win 42.9%
Draw 11.5%
America de Cali Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Santa Fe1.19
America de Cali1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WWDLW
48 GF / 38 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
41 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
24
BTTS Yes
10
16
Over 2.5
11
4.44
Shots on Goal
4.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Santa Fe Santa Fe 33 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 29 matches
Santa Fe Statistic America de Cali
11 Wins 16
14 Draws 5
8 Losses 8
48 Goals For 41
38 Goals Against 23
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
24 BTTS Yes 10
28 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 15
4 Failed To Score 5
4.44 Shots On Goal 4.68
11.91 Total Shots 13.56
4.28 Corners 3.64
47.1% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring America de Cali. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and America de Cali in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. America de Cali look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Santa Fe Analysis

Santa Fe sit 7 with 29 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 29:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), Hugo Rodallega (1 goals), Jader Obrian (1 goals), with creative support from Nahuel Bustos (1 assists), Franco Fagúndez (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

America de Cali Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 25:15, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Yeison Guzmán (4 goals), Dany Rosero (3 goals), Kevin Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Carrascal (3 assists), Luis Quiñones (2 assists), Tomás Ángel (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santa Fe won 6 times, America de Cali won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:14 from Santa Fe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Santa Fe 4-2-3-1 / America de Cali 4-4-2
H2H summary: Santa Fe wins 6, draws 6, America de Cali wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification