NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Jotun Arena
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway
Sandefjord
Match Timeline
Ham-Kam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
B. Berntsen · Assist: V. Egeli
Sandefjord
🟨
27'
F. Pedersen
Sandefjord
🟨
39'
E. Amundsen-Day
Ham-Kam
🟥
54'
J. Vester
Sandefjord
61'
A. Potur · Assist: P. Metcalfe
Ham-Kam
🔄
64'
E. Patoulidis ↔ E. Pettersen
Sandefjord
🔄
64'
B. Berntsen ↔ J. Dunsby
Sandefjord
🔄
69'
A. Trondsen ↔ M. Johnsgard
Ham-Kam
🔄
73'
M. Gjone ↔ S. Nilsen
Ham-Kam
🔄
73'
H. Opsahl ↔ F. Sjolstad
Ham-Kam
74'
E. Pettersen
Sandefjord
🔄
77'
S. Mork ↔ H. Krogelien
Sandefjord
🔄
77'
N. Moller ↔ S. Mathisen
Sandefjord
🟨
84'
A. Ekeroth
Ham-Kam
🔄
87'
P. Metcalfe ↔ L. Mettler
Ham-Kam
🔄
87'
A. Ekeroth ↔ D. Benjamin
Ham-Kam
90+4'
M. Niang · Assist: L. Mettler
Ham-Kam

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sandefjord Win 39.7%
Draw 22.2%
Ham-Kam Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sandefjord1.44
Ham-Kam1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sandefjord Sandefjord
WWDLW
31 GF / 26 GA
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
WLDWL
33 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
11
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
12
4.82
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sandefjord Sandefjord 21 matches
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam 19 matches
Sandefjord Statistic Ham-Kam
11 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
31 Goals For 33
26 Goals Against 26
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 17
11 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4.82 Shots On Goal 4.8
14.64 Total Shots 11.6
6.27 Corners 4.3
51.6% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Ham-Kam's more proactive style and Sandefjord's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ham-Kam. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sandefjord expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ham-Kam in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ham-Kam having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sandefjord Analysis

So far, Sandefjord have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 10:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Nikolaj Möller (3 goals), E. Patoulidis (2 goals), S. Mathisen (2 goals), with creative support from Ruben Alte (1 assists), B. Berntsen (1 assists), Edvard Pettersen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ham-Kam Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Ham-Kam have collected 17 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Udahl (5 goals), M. Niang (4 goals), Aksel Baran Potur (2 goals), with creative support from M. Gjone (2 assists), Patrick Metcalfe (2 assists), V. Jonsson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sandefjord won 2 times, Ham-Kam won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Sandefjord's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.8%)
Predicted formations: Sandefjord 4-3-3 / Ham-Kam 5-3-2
Missing players: Sandefjord 5, Ham-Kam 0
H2H summary: Sandefjord wins 2, draws 2, Ham-Kam wins 7

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen