ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
15.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
San Miguel
Match Timeline
Colegiales
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
G. Fernandez · Assist: I. Ramirez
San Miguel
🟨
42'
F. Rivero
Colegiales
🟨
42'
G. Fernandez
San Miguel
🔄
46'
R. E. Monserrat ↔ M. Albertengo
Colegiales
🔄
46'
L. Gonzalez ↔ N. Toloza
Colegiales
🔄
57'
L. Brochero ↔ K. Ceceri
San Miguel
🔄
57'
G. Fernandez ↔ T. Diaz
San Miguel
🟨
61'
F. Hanashiro
Colegiales
🔄
61'
E. Trinidad ↔ F. Montiel
Colegiales
🟨
66'
A. Cruz
San Miguel
🔄
68'
L. Castillo ↔ L. Juarez
Colegiales
🔄
76'
A. Cruz ↔ L. Perez
San Miguel
🔄
76'
B. Nasta ↔ L. Delgado
San Miguel
🔄
81'
F. Zicarelli ↔ T. Perri
Colegiales
🔄
83'
M. Serra ↔ F. Almeida
San Miguel
87'
K. Ceceri · Assist: F. Almeida
San Miguel

San Miguel vs Colegiales Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
71.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Miguel Win 38%
Draw 33.5%
Colegiales Win 28.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Miguel0.83
Colegiales1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Miguel San Miguel
WWDLW
17 GF / 26 GA
Colegiales Colegiales
WLDWL
23 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Miguel San Miguel 24 matches
Colegiales Colegiales 23 matches
San Miguel Statistic Colegiales
5 Wins 8
11 Draws 6
8 Losses 9
17 Goals For 23
26 Goals Against 23
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colegiales. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colegiales having the stronger overall control.

San Miguel Analysis

So far, San Miguel have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 26 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses, while the 17:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colegiales Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Colegiales have collected 29 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 21:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, San Miguel won 4 times, Colegiales won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from San Miguel's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (71.5%)
Predicted formations: San Miguel - / Colegiales 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: San Miguel wins 4, draws 5, Colegiales wins 6

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
2 29 16 7 6 34:25 9 55
D D D W W
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 29 10 9 10 26:25 1 39
W L D L W
8 29 9 12 8 24:26 -2 39
D L W D L
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 29 6 14 9 27:35 -8 32
D D D L D
14 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
15 29 6 13 10 16:25 -9 31
L W D L W
16 29 7 10 12 23:33 -10 31
W D L W D
17 29 6 12 11 23:33 -10 30
D L L L L
18 29 5 8 16 19:34 -15 23
L L D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation