Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
55%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Lorenzo
23 matches
Union Santa Fe
24 matches
| San Lorenzo | Statistic | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 9 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 33 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.62 | Shots On Goal | 5.23 |
| 10.43 | Total Shots | 16.18 |
| 3.76 | Corners | 5.09 |
| 49.8% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and San Lorenzo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Union Santa Fe in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union Santa Fe. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 14:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Rodrigo Auzmendi (3 goals), Ezequiel Herrera (1 goals), Alexis Cuello (1 goals), with creative support from Matias Reali (1 assists), Facundo Gulli (1 assists), Nahuel Barrios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 16 matches, Union Santa Fe have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), Marcelo Estigarribia (2 goals), Lucas Menossi (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (3 assists), Cristian Tarragona (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 5 times, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
San Lorenzo
8
1
4
3
2
2
Lineups
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Home
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe
Away
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
L
W
L
L
|