ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Pedro Bidegain
Referee: Fernando Echenique, Argentina
San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Gimnasia M.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Gonzalo Alassia ↔ Juan Rattalino
San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
Facundo Gulli ↔ Nahuel Barrios
San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
Diego Mondino ↔ Lautaro Carrera
Gimnasia M.
🟨
52'
Matias Recalde
Gimnasia M.
🔄
59'
Agustin Ladstatter ↔ Gregorio Rodriguez
San Lorenzo
🟨
69'
Julian Ceballos
Gimnasia M.
🔄
70'
Julian Ceballos ↔ Ulises Sánchez
Gimnasia M.
🔄
70'
Ignacio Sabatini ↔ Luciano Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
🔄
70'
Agustín Modica ↔ Valentino Simoni
Gimnasia M.
🟨
75'
Luciano Cingolani
Gimnasia M.
🟨
84'
Facundo Lencioni
Gimnasia M.
🔄
84'
Esteban Fernández ↔ Blas Armoa
Gimnasia M.
86'
Rodrigo Auzmendi · Assist: Gregorio Rodriguez
San Lorenzo
🔄
89'
Ezequiel Herrera ↔ Guzmán Corujo
San Lorenzo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.89
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
2.07
BTTS Yes
63.2%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
2.89
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.8%
1.48
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
San Lorenzo Win 73.2%
Draw 6.6%
Gimnasia M. Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Lorenzo1.12
Gimnasia M.0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
WWDLW
21 GF / 17 GA
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WLDWL
15 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
8
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
6
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 20 matches
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 18 matches
San Lorenzo Statistic Gimnasia M.
6 Wins 6
9 Draws 5
5 Losses 7
21 Goals For 15
17 Goals Against 22
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
8 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.71
10.17 Total Shots 10.82
3.78 Corners 3.24
48.8% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia M.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Gimnasia M. in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia M. having the stronger overall control.

San Lorenzo Analysis

San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Cuello (4 goals), G. Rodriguez (2 goals), L. Vietto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Cuello (3 assists), Facundo Gulli (3 assists), M. De Ritis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

Gimnasia M. sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Agustín Modica (4 goals), E. Munoz (2 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (5 assists), I. Sabatini (2 assists), S. Rodriguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 2 times, Gimnasia M. won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: San Lorenzo 3-4-1-2 / Gimnasia M. 4-3-3
H2H summary: San Lorenzo wins 2, draws 0, Gimnasia M. wins 0
Stats
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
7
4 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 14
4 Offsides 0
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
446 Total passes 425
366 Passes accurate 354
1.04 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Lorenzo
Formation
Gimnasia M.
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill
Ezequiel Herrera
Ezequiel Herrera
Franco Lorenzon
Franco Lorenzon
Alejo Cordoba
Alejo Cordoba
Mathias de Ritis
Mathias de Ritis
Agustin Ladstatter
Agustin Ladstatter
Nicolás Tripichio
Nicolás Tripichio
Gonzalo Alassia
Gonzalo Alassia
Facundo Gulli
Facundo Gulli
Rodrigo Auzmendi
Rodrigo Auzmendi
Alexis Cuello
Alexis Cuello
Cesar Rigamonti
Cesar Rigamonti
Juan Franco
Juan Franco
Diego Mondino
Diego Mondino
Ezequiel Muñoz
Ezequiel Muñoz
Matias Recalde
Matias Recalde
Esteban Fernández
Esteban Fernández
Fermin Antonini
Fermin Antonini
Facundo Lencioni
Facundo Lencioni
Ignacio Sabatini
Ignacio Sabatini
Agustín Modica
Agustín Modica
Julian Ceballos
Julian Ceballos
San Lorenzo 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
Orlando Gill
G
32
Ezequiel Herrera
↓ 89'
D
42
Franco Lorenzon
D
35
Alejo Cordoba
D
6
Mathias de Ritis
D
14
Agustin Ladstatter
↓ 59'
M
24
Nicolás Tripichio
M
62
Gonzalo Alassia
↓ 46'
M
10
Facundo Gulli
↓ 46'
M
29
Rodrigo Auzmendi
⚽ 86'
F
9
Alexis Cuello
F
Substitutes
28
Nahuel Barrios
↑ 46'
M
13
Juan Rattalino
↑ 46'
M
17
Gregorio Rodriguez
🎯 86' ↑ 59'
F
16
Guzmán Corujo
↑ 89'
D
20
Facundo Altamirano
G
3
Teo Rodríguez Pagano
D
54
Nicolás Blanco
D
15
Mauricio Cardillo
M
5
Ignacio Perruzzi
M
19
Facundo Bruera
F
44
Matías Hernández
F
Gimnasia M. 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
Cesar Rigamonti
G
22
Juan Franco
D
2
Diego Mondino
↓ 46'
D
4
Ezequiel Muñoz
D
3
Matias Recalde
🟨 52'
D
30
Esteban Fernández
↓ 84'
M
21
Fermin Antonini
M
26
Facundo Lencioni
🟨 84'
M
17
Ignacio Sabatini
↓ 70'
F
9
Agustín Modica
↓ 70'
F
19
Julian Ceballos
↓ 70' 🟨 69'
F
Substitutes
42
Lautaro Carrera
↑ 46'
M
15
Ulises Sánchez
↑ 70'
M
7
Luciano Cingolani
↑ 70' 🟨 75'
F
35
Valentino Simoni
↑ 70'
F
27
Blas Armoa
↑ 84'
F
31
Lautaro Petruchi
G
16
Germán Guiffrey
D
41
Gerónimo Patritti
M
32
Luciano Paredes
D
5
Nahuel Barboza
M
10
Nicolás Romano
F
11
Santiago Rodríguez
F
Last matches: San Lorenzo
26.07.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
0
1
L
17.07.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
River Plate
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Platense
1
0
W
20.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
5
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
2
5
L
11.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
0
0
D
24.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Huracan
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
2
3
L
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
01.08.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
24.07.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
2
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
1
5
L
21.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
1
0
W
15.04.26
Cop
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Platense
1
1
D
03.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
3
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
12.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
03.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
23.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
H2H: San Lorenzo vs Gimnasia M.
28.07.26
H2H
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
27.01.26
H2H
Gimnasia M.
San Lorenzo
0
1
W
Last matches: San Lorenzo
17.07.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
02.05.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Independiente
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cop
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
5
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
2
5
L
24.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
23.01.26
Lig
San Lorenzo
Lanus
2
3
L
H2H at home: San Lorenzo
28.07.26
H2H
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
W
Last matches: Gimnasia M.
26.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
1
5
L
12.04.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Platense
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
0
1
L
12.03.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
03.02.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
0
4
L
23.01.26
Lig
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
H2H away: Gimnasia M.
28.07.26
H2H
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.12
Home 2.07
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.38
Draw 1.97
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.25 1.40
Over 1.5 1.60
Over 1.75 1.79
Over 2.0 2.13
Over 2.25 2.52
Over 2.5 2.89
Over 3.5 6.04
Under 0.5 6.42
Under 1.25 3.11
Under 1.5 2.44
Under 1.75 2.12
Under 2.0 1.78
Under 2.25 1.56
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 3.00
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 1.91
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.05
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.62
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.50
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 34.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.12
Draw 3.04
Home 2.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 1.82
Home 2.81
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.45
Draw 2.12
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 0.75 1.10
Over 1.0 1.14
Over 1.25 1.38
Over 1.5 1.58
Over 1.75 1.77
Over 2.0 2.01
Over 2.25 2.34
Over 2.5 2.68
Over 2.75 3.28
Over 3.0 4.65
Over 3.25 5.09
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 3.75 8.35
Over 4.0 10.50
Over 4.5 13.50
Over 5.5 26.00
Under 0.5 6.05
Under 0.75 5.43
Under 1.0 4.70
Under 1.25 3.02
Under 1.5 2.37
Under 1.75 2.05
Under 2.0 1.69
Under 2.25 1.48
Under 2.5 1.37
Under 2.75 1.25
Under 3.0 1.12
Under 3.25 1.10
Under 3.5 1.08
Under 3.75 1.03
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.35
Draw 3.05
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.10
Draw 1.85
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.18
Home 2.45
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.25 1.41
Over 1.5 1.63
Over 1.75 1.82
Over 2.0 2.18
Over 2.25 2.55
Over 2.5 2.90
Over 2.75 3.65
Over 3.5 6.25
Under 0.5 5.75
Under 1.25 2.75
Under 1.5 2.20
Under 1.75 1.93
Under 2.0 1.64
Under 2.25 1.48
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 2.75 1.26
Under 3.5 1.10

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L L W D
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D L L W W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W W L D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L D D
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W W L W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L D L W D
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W D L L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W L W W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D L W D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L W D W
Knockout Phase