Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
San Lorenzo
Gimnasia M.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Lorenzo
20 matches
Gimnasia M.
18 matches
| San Lorenzo | Statistic | Gimnasia M. |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 15 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.22 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.71 |
| 10.17 | Total Shots | 10.82 |
| 3.78 | Corners | 3.24 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 42.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia M.. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Lorenzo expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Gimnasia M. in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia M. having the stronger overall control.
San Lorenzo sit 7 with 22 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Cuello (4 goals), G. Rodriguez (2 goals), L. Vietto (2 goals), with creative support from A. Cuello (3 assists), Facundo Gulli (3 assists), M. De Ritis (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Gimnasia M. sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 14:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Agustín Modica (4 goals), E. Munoz (2 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (5 assists), I. Sabatini (2 assists), S. Rodriguez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo won 2 times, Gimnasia M. won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from San Lorenzo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
San Lorenzo
5
3
4
3
4
7
Lineups
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Lanus
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
River Plate
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Platense
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Newells Old Boys
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Gimnasia M.
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Gimnasia M.
Platense
Gimnasia M.
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Estudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Huracan
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
San Lorenzo
Independiente
San Lorenzo
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes L.P.
San Lorenzo
Deportivo Rincon
San Lorenzo
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
Instituto Cordoba
San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
San Lorenzo
Lanus
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia L.P.
Gimnasia M.
Instituto Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Platense
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Gimnasia M.
Deportivo Riestra
Gimnasia M.
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
Talleres Cordoba
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
San Lorenzo
Home
|
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
Gimnasia M.
Away
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
L
W
L
L
|