ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
16.09.2026 18:45
Moss Lane

Altrincham vs Hartlepool Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 2.02
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.5%
1.50
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
2.02
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Altrincham Win 37.5%
Draw 22.1%
Hartlepool Win 40.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Altrincham1.18
Hartlepool1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Altrincham Altrincham
WWDLW
13 GF / 20 GA
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
7
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Altrincham Altrincham 11 matches
Hartlepool Hartlepool 12 matches
Altrincham Statistic Hartlepool
4 Wins 7
2 Draws 0
5 Losses 5
13 Goals For 15
20 Goals Against 14
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
7 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Hartlepool's more proactive style and Altrincham's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Hartlepool. Hartlepool arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hartlepool having the stronger overall control.

Altrincham Analysis

So far, Altrincham have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:8 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool sit 11 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 5:4 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Altrincham won 1 times, Hartlepool won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:12 from Altrincham's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.9%)
H2H summary: Altrincham wins 1, draws 4, Hartlepool wins 3

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 17:9 8 17
D W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 18:10 8 16
W W W L D
3 7 4 2 1 17:10 7 14
W D W W L
4 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 2 1 14:10 4 14
D W D L W
6 7 4 2 1 9:5 4 14
W W D W D
7 7 4 0 3 11:10 1 12
W W L L L
8 7 4 0 3 10:11 -1 12
L L W W L
9 7 4 0 3 7:8 -1 12
L L L W W
10 7 3 2 2 13:12 1 11
L L W W W
11 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
D L D W W
12 7 2 3 2 15:12 3 9
D L W D W
13 7 3 0 4 12:10 2 9
W L W L W
14 7 3 0 4 5:6 -1 9
L W L L L
15 7 3 0 4 8:13 -5 9
L W W W L
16 7 2 2 3 13:14 -1 8
D D L L W
17 7 2 2 3 10:12 -2 8
W L W D L
18 7 2 1 4 10:12 -2 7
W L L W L
19 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
W L D L W
20 7 2 1 4 9:11 -2 7
L D L L W
21 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D W D L D
22 7 1 2 4 13:19 -6 5
L D L W L
23 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L D L L L
24 7 0 1 6 7:19 -12 1
L D L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation