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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
25.10.2026 02:30
Snapdragon Stadium

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 38.1%
Draw 15.8%
Seattle Sounders Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.55
Seattle Sounders1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
62 GF / 64 GA
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WLDWL
56 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
20
BTTS Yes
21
24
Over 2.5
20
4.53
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 35 matches
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 38 matches
San Diego Statistic Seattle Sounders
11 Wins 17
10 Draws 9
14 Losses 12
62 Goals For 56
64 Goals Against 46
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
20 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 20
20 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 9
4.53 Shots On Goal 4.94
11.88 Total Shots 13.47
4.79 Corners 5.09
58.4% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Seattle Sounders's more proactive style and San Diego's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Seattle Sounders. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Seattle Sounders look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Seattle Sounders in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Seattle Sounders having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

San Diego Analysis

So far, San Diego have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 33 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, while the 51:54 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Ingvartsen (8 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), D. Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (9 assists), O. Valakari (4 assists), L. Morgan (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders are currently 7 in the standings with 41 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, while the 38:36 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Roldan (4 goals), A. Rusnák (3 goals), P. Arriola (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (9 assists), J. Morris (4 assists), P. Arriola (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 1 times, Seattle Sounders won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from San Diego's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: San Diego wins 1, draws 1, Seattle Sounders wins 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 7 7 63:31 32 55
W D D L D
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 30 14 9 7 55:47 8 51
D W L W D
4 30 13 9 8 52:42 10 48
D D D W D
5 30 13 8 9 41:39 2 47
D D D L D
6 31 12 10 9 48:33 15 46
D W D L D
7 30 11 9 10 39:37 2 42
D L W W W
8 31 10 10 11 43:52 -9 40
D W L W W
9 30 11 6 13 41:41 0 39
D D D L D
10 30 10 6 14 45:48 -3 36
W D L W L
11 30 9 7 14 51:56 -5 34
D L D L L
12 30 8 10 12 53:56 -3 34
D D L D D
13 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
14 30 7 10 13 38:56 -18 31
L L L D D
15 30 6 4 20 36:75 -39 22
L L D L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)