🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: M. Badawi
San Diego
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Vazquez · Assist: O. Valakari
San Diego
17'
A. Dreyer · Assist: P. Soma
San Diego
🟨
44'
Luca Bombino
San Diego
54'
P. Soma · Assist: A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
63'
C. Fodrey ↔ O. Wolff
Austin
🔄
66'
P. Soma ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego
🔄
66'
K. Sargeant ↔ O. Verhoeven
San Diego
🔄
69'
M. Uzuni ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
69'
O. Svatok ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
69'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
🔄
75'
J. Rosales ↔ M. Burton
Austin
79'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
82'
O. Valakari ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
82'
L. Bombino ↔ I. Pilcher
San Diego
🔄
82'
A. Dreyer ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
90'
D. Vazquez · Assist: A. Godoy
San Diego

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 43%
Draw 25.6%
Austin Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.65
Austin1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
21 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 17 matches
Austin Austin 18 matches
San Diego Statistic Austin
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
29 Goals For 21
28 Goals Against 28
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
9 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.17
10.31 Total Shots 11
4.44 Corners 4.67
58.4% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. San Diego appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Austin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Diego have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austin. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 20:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ingvartsen (8 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Reyes, A. Pellegrino, P. Sisniega unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Austin Analysis

Austin are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), M. Agyemang (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), J. Rosales (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Nelson, R. Taylor, J. Bell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, Austin won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from San Diego's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Austin 4-4-2
Missing players: San Diego 7, Austin 3
H2H summary: San Diego wins 2, draws 0, Austin wins 1
Stats
San Diego San Diego
Austin Austin
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
688 Total passes 482
637 Passes accurate 416
2.51 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

San Diego
Formation
Austin
D. Ferree
D. Ferree
L. Bombino
🎯
L. Bombino
C. McVey
C. McVey
M. Duah
M. Duah
K. Sargeant
K. Sargeant
O. Valakari
🎯
O. Valakari
P. Soma
🎯
P. Soma
D. Vazquez
⚽ 2
D. Vazquez
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
A. Mighten
🎯
A. Mighten
B. Stuver
B. Stuver
J. Gallagher
J. Gallagher
O. Svatok
O. Svatok
J. Bell
J. Bell
Z. Kolmanic
Z. Kolmanic
F. Torres
F. Torres
B. Sabovic
B. Sabovic
N. Dubersarsky
N. Dubersarsky
J. Rosales
J. Rosales
C. Fodrey
C. Fodrey
M. Uzuni
M. Uzuni
San Diego 4-3-3
Starting XI
18
D. Ferree
G
27
L. Bombino
🎯 79' ↓ 82' 🟨 44'
D
97
C. McVey
D
26
M. Duah
D
5
K. Sargeant
↓ 66'
8
O. Valakari
🎯 8' ↓ 82'
M
15
P. Soma
⚽ 54' 🎯 17' ↓ 66'
M
19
D. Vazquez
⚽ 8' ⚽ 90'
M
10
A. Dreyer
⚽ 17' ↓ 82'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
⚽ 79'
F
77
A. Mighten
🎯 54'
F
Substitutes
98
J. Jackson
G
20
A. Godoy
🎯 90' ↑ 66'
M
90
A. Pellegrino
F
21
B. Duke
M
70
A. Alvarado Jr
↑ 82'
F
29
A. Saidi
F
25
I. Pilcher
↑ 82'
D
33
O. Verhoeven
↑ 66'
D
14
B. B. Zamble
↑ 82'
F
Austin 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
B. Stuver
G
17
J. Gallagher
D
5
O. Svatok
↓ 69'
D
15
J. Bell
D
23
Z. Kolmanic
D
11
F. Torres
↓ 69'
M
14
B. Sabovic
M
20
N. Dubersarsky
M
30
J. Rosales
↓ 75'
M
19
C. Fodrey
↓ 63'
F
10
M. Uzuni
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Las
G
6
I. Sanchez
M
21
C. Ramirez
↑ 69'
F
29
Guilherme Biro
D
32
M. Burton
↑ 75'
M
3
M. Desler
D
35
M. Djordjevic
↑ 69'
D
33
O. Wolff
↑ 63'
M
38
E. Torres
↑ 69'
M
Last matches: San Diego
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
Last matches: Austin
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
17.08.26
Maj
Austin
FC Dallas
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
26.07.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
23.07.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
H2H: San Diego vs Austin
14.05.26
H2H
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
San Diego
Austin
2
0
W
23.03.25
H2H
Austin
San Diego
2
1
L
Last matches: San Diego
26.07.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Diego
CF Montreal
5
0
W
04.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
2
0
W
H2H at home: San Diego
14.05.26
H2H
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
01.06.25
H2H
San Diego
Austin
2
0
W
Last matches: Austin
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
26.07.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
3
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Austin
14.05.26
H2H
San Diego
Austin
5
0
L
01.06.25
H2H
San Diego
Austin
2
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

San Diego 7 missing
-
A. Reyes
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
A. Pellegrino
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
P. Sisniega
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
W. Kumado
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Tverskov
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
C. J. dos Santos
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
L. Morgan
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
Austin 3 missing
-
J. Nelson
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
R. Taylor
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Hines-Ike
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT