🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
14.05.2026 01:30
Snapdragon Stadium
Referee: M. Badawi
San Diego
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Vazquez · Assist: O. Valakari
San Diego
17'
A. Dreyer · Assist: P. Soma
San Diego
🟨
44'
Luca Bombino
San Diego
54'
P. Soma · Assist: A. Mighten
San Diego
🔄
63'
C. Fodrey ↔ O. Wolff
Austin
🔄
66'
P. Soma ↔ A. Godoy
San Diego
🔄
66'
K. Sargeant ↔ O. Verhoeven
San Diego
🔄
69'
M. Uzuni ↔ C. Ramirez
Austin
🔄
69'
O. Svatok ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
69'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
🔄
75'
J. Rosales ↔ M. Burton
Austin
79'
M. Ingvartsen · Assist: L. Bombino
San Diego
🔄
82'
O. Valakari ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
82'
L. Bombino ↔ I. Pilcher
San Diego
🔄
82'
A. Dreyer ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
90'
D. Vazquez · Assist: A. Godoy
San Diego

San Diego vs Austin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
85.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
San Diego Win 43%
Draw 25.6%
Austin Win 31.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
San Diego1.65
Austin1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
San Diego San Diego
WWDLW
29 GF / 28 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
21 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
9
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
4.13
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

San Diego San Diego 17 matches
Austin Austin 18 matches
San Diego Statistic Austin
6 Wins 4
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
29 Goals For 21
28 Goals Against 28
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
9 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 5
4.13 Shots On Goal 4.17
10.31 Total Shots 11
4.44 Corners 4.67
58.4% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. San Diego appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Austin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Diego have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austin. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

San Diego Analysis

San Diego approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 20:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ingvartsen (8 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Reyes, A. Pellegrino, P. Sisniega unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Austin Analysis

Austin are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), M. Agyemang (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), J. Rosales (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Nelson, R. Taylor, J. Bell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, Austin won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from San Diego's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: San Diego 4-3-3 / Austin 4-4-2
Missing players: San Diego 7, Austin 3
H2H summary: San Diego wins 2, draws 0, Austin wins 1

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)