Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
74.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
85.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
San Diego
Austin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
San Diego
17 matches
Austin
18 matches
| San Diego | Statistic | Austin |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 29 | Goals For | 21 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 10.31 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 58.4% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. San Diego appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Austin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with San Diego expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Austin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Austin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. San Diego have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Austin. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
San Diego approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 20:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Ingvartsen (8 goals), A. Dreyer (5 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (5 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Reyes, A. Pellegrino, P. Sisniega unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Austin are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:21 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Uzuni (5 goals), C. Ramirez (4 goals), M. Agyemang (3 goals), with creative support from F. Torres (5 assists), C. Ramirez (1 assists), J. Rosales (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with J. Nelson, R. Taylor, J. Bell unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, San Diego won 2 times, Austin won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:2 from San Diego's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
San Diego
10
3
10
5
2
1
Lineups
San Diego
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
FC Dallas
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Toluca
San Diego
FC Dallas
San Diego
Toluca
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
San Diego
St. Louis City
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
FC Dallas
Austin
Colorado Rapids
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Sporting JAX
Austin
Club Queretaro
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Toronto FC
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
Inter Miami
Austin
Los Angeles FC
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Charlotte
Austin
DC United
San Diego
FC Dallas
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
Portland Timbers
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
San Diego
Toluca
San Diego
St. Louis City
San Diego
CF Montreal
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
Colorado Rapids
Austin
Houston Dynamo
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
Minnesota United FC
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
Toronto FC
Austin
Inter Miami
Austin
Real Salt Lake
Austin
Charlotte
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
Austin
St. Louis City
Austin
New York City FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40:18 | 22 | 37 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35:21 | 14 | 34 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 33 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30:25 | 5 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 28 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
San Diego
Home
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 24 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 14 |
Austin
Away
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19:49 | -30 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
W
|