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ITALY › SERIE B
18.10.2026 17:30
Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria vs Arezzo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sampdoria Win 42.7%
Draw 18.8%
Arezzo Win 38.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sampdoria1.32
Arezzo1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sampdoria Sampdoria
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
Arezzo Arezzo
WLDWL
16 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
4.86
Shots on Goal
2.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sampdoria Sampdoria 11 matches
Arezzo Arezzo 14 matches
Sampdoria Statistic Arezzo
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 7
11 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 25
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 4
4.86 Shots On Goal 2.38
14.29 Total Shots 12.25
5.43 Corners 3.88
50.3% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Arezzo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sampdoria expected to line up in 4-3-2-1 and Arezzo in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arezzo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sampdoria Analysis

Sampdoria sit 17 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Insigne (3 goals), L. Henderson (1 goals), G. Tutino (1 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (2 assists), S. Gartenmann (1 assists), Y. Verschaeren (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arezzo Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 12, Arezzo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Cianci (1 goals), C. Tavernelli (1 goals), L. Mancuso (1 goals), with creative support from P. Cianci (1 assists), C. Tavernelli (1 assists), A. Arena (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Sampdoria 4-3-2-1 / Arezzo 4-3-3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 14:7 7 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
W D W D W
3 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W D L W
4 6 3 3 0 9:3 6 12
D W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 7:4 3 11
D W L W D
6 6 3 1 2 11:7 4 10
W L D W W
7 6 3 1 2 11:8 3 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:5 3 10
W W W L D
9 6 2 1 3 12:10 2 7
L W L W D
10 6 2 1 3 5:8 -3 7
L L W L D
11 6 1 4 1 7:8 -1 7
L D D D W
12 6 2 1 3 6:13 -7 7
D L W L L
13 6 2 0 4 6:10 -4 6
L L L W L
14 6 1 3 2 8:7 1 6
D D W D L
15 6 1 3 2 5:7 -2 6
D D D W L
16 6 1 2 3 7:13 -6 5
L L D D L
17 6 1 1 4 4:6 -2 4
W L L L D
18 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
L W L L L
19 6 1 0 5 6:12 -6 3
L L W L L
20 6 1 3 2 5:8 -3 2
D D D L W
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation