Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.6%
|
2.32 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
1.51 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
9.50 |
Gimnasia M.
Newells Old Boys
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Gimnasia M.
28 matches
Newells Old Boys
28 matches
| Gimnasia M. | Statistic | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 28 | Goals For | 26 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.81 | Shots On Goal | 3.19 |
| 11.81 | Total Shots | 9.37 |
| 3.85 | Corners | 3.59 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newells Old Boys. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
So far, Gimnasia M. have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Módica (8 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), E. Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (3 assists), Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), T. O'Connor (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Newells Old Boys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Ramírez (3 goals), M. Cóccaro (3 goals), J. Russo (1 goals), with creative support from J. Russo (2 assists), I. Ramírez (1 assists), W. Mazzantti (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 0 times, Newells Old Boys won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Gimnasia M.
Home
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Newells Old Boys
Away
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
L
D
D
L
D
|