Login Register
12.10.2026 21:30
Víctor Legrotaglie
Referee: Juan Cruz Robledo

Gimnasia M. vs Newells Old Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.6%
Odds 2.32
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.6%
2.32 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.5%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia M. Win 67.6%
Draw 5.1%
Newells Old Boys Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia M.1.13
Newells Old Boys1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M.
WWDLW
28 GF / 34 GA
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WLDWL
26 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
9
3.81
Shots on Goal
3.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. 28 matches
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 28 matches
Gimnasia M. Statistic Newells Old Boys
10 Wins 7
7 Draws 11
11 Losses 10
28 Goals For 26
34 Goals Against 37
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
11 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 7
11 Failed To Score 10
3.81 Shots On Goal 3.19
11.81 Total Shots 9.37
3.85 Corners 3.59
45.9% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Newells Old Boys. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gimnasia M. Analysis

So far, Gimnasia M. have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 14:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Módica (8 goals), F. Lencioni (2 goals), E. Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from F. Lencioni (3 assists), Ignacio Sabatini (2 assists), T. O'Connor (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

Newells Old Boys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on I. Ramírez (3 goals), M. Cóccaro (3 goals), J. Russo (1 goals), with creative support from J. Russo (2 assists), I. Ramírez (1 assists), W. Mazzantti (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia M. won 0 times, Newells Old Boys won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Gimnasia M.'s perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Gimnasia M. 4-2-3-1 / Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Gimnasia M. wins 0, draws 0, Newells Old Boys wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D W L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W W W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D W D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L W D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L L L L W
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W L
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W W D W L
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D L D W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D D L L D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
D D D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D W D D D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D L D
Knockout Phase