GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
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Mikheil Meskhi Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Saburtalo Win 79.9%
Draw 10%
Dila Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Saburtalo1.33
Dila1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Saburtalo Saburtalo
WWDLW
38 GF / 31 GA
Dila Dila
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
16
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Saburtalo Saburtalo 27 matches
Dila Dila 23 matches
Saburtalo Statistic Dila
12 Wins 9
8 Draws 2
7 Losses 12
38 Goals For 24
31 Goals Against 28
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
16 BTTS Yes 8
21 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
10.1% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Saburtalo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Dila in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dila having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Dila. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Dila arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Saburtalo Analysis

Saburtalo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 34 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 27:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dila Analysis

With 26 points from 19 games and a place of 6, Dila still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 21:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Saburtalo won 8 times, Dila won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Saburtalo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90%)
Predicted formations: Saburtalo 4-3-3 / Dila 3-5-2
H2H summary: Saburtalo wins 8, draws 1, Dila wins 6
Last matches: Saburtalo
29.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
1
1
D
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
3
2
W
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
3
L
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
06.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
22.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
03.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
2
1
W
Last matches: Dila
28.07.26
UEF
Dila
Apollon Limassol
0
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Dila
Apollon Limassol
0
4
L
16.07.26
UEF
Dila
Virtus
0
1
L
09.07.26
UEF
Dila
Virtus
3
1
W
22.06.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
3
0
W
16.06.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
3
1
W
12.06.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
29.05.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
0
2
L
20.05.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ero
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Dila
Meshakhte
2
0
W
06.05.26
Ero
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
L
01.05.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
1
2
L
07.04.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
H2H: Saburtalo vs Dila
06.05.26
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
W
06.03.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
10.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
L
26.10.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
2
1
W
17.08.25
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
0
6
W
26.06.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
L
02.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
10.03.25
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
W
08.11.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
3
2
W
31.08.24
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
1
3
W
14.05.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
4
L
29.03.24
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
3
1
L
28.10.23
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
3
0
L
24.10.23
H2H
Dila
Saburtalo
0
0
D
20.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
2
L
Last matches: Saburtalo
21.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Slovan Bratislava
0
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Saburtalo
Flora Tallinn
2
2
D
23.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
1
W
17.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Rustavi
1
2
L
12.06.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Spaeri
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Batumi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Gagra
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Meshakhte
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Samgurali
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
06.03.26
Ero
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
29.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
2
D
08.07.25
UEF
Saburtalo
Malmo FF
1
3
L
H2H at home: Saburtalo
06.03.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
10.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
L
26.10.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
2
1
W
26.06.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
L
02.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
W
08.11.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
3
2
W
14.05.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
4
L
20.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
2
L
Last matches: Dila
28.07.26
UEF
Dila
Apollon Limassol
0
3
L
16.07.26
UEF
Dila
Virtus
0
1
L
12.06.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ero
Dila
Gagra
0
2
L
15.05.26
Ero
Dila
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ero
Dila
Meshakhte
2
0
W
01.05.26
Ero
Dila
Rustavi
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ero
Dila
Spaeri
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Dila
Samgurali
1
0
W
03.04.26
Ero
Dila
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
06.03.26
Ero
Dila
Saburtalo
0
1
L
24.07.25
UEF
Dila
Riga
1
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
Dila
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2
1
W
H2H away: Dila
06.03.26
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
L
10.12.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
W
26.10.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
2
1
L
26.06.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
3
W
02.05.25
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
0
L
08.11.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
3
2
L
14.05.24
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
4
W
20.08.23
H2H
Saburtalo
Dila
1
2
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6
Dila Away
19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9 19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2