AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
1.17
BTTS Yes
75%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Hume City Win 45.1%
Draw 13.6%
Melbourne City II Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hume City1.64
Melbourne City II1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hume City Hume City
WWDLW
42 GF / 28 GA
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
16
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hume City Hume City 22 matches
Melbourne City II Melbourne City II 21 matches
Hume City Statistic Melbourne City II
12 Wins 8
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 7
42 Goals For 39
28 Goals Against 26
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
16 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 18
14 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Melbourne City II. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Hume City have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Melbourne City II having the stronger overall control.

Hume City Analysis

With 40 points from 22 games and a place of 3, Hume City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 42:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Melbourne City II Analysis

So far, Melbourne City II have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 30 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 39:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Hume City won 1 times, Melbourne City II won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Hume City's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: Hume City wins 1, draws 0, Melbourne City II wins 0
Last matches: Hume City
24.07.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
2
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
10.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
1
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
0
0
D
27.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
20.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
3
2
W
05.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
5
1
W
30.05.26
Vic
Hume City
South Melbourne
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Altona Magic
3
1
W
16.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Avondale
3
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Sunshine Georgies
4
2
W
02.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Hume City
Melbourne City II
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
11.04.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
2
3
L
28.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
3
2
W
20.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
06.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
1
1
D
28.02.26
Vic
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
Last matches: Melbourne City II
25.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
2
3
L
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
0
1
L
11.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
2
2
D
04.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
3
0
W
26.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
19.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
3
L
30.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
0
1
L
24.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
2
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Green Gully
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
2
1
W
26.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
L
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
1
3
L
12.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
1
1
D
27.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
5
0
W
08.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
01.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Preston Lions
0
3
L
20.02.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
4
2
W
H2H: Hume City vs Melbourne City II
26.04.26
H2H
Melbourne City II
Hume City
0
1
W
Last matches: Hume City
18.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong City
0
0
D
20.06.26
Vic
Hume City
Green Gully
3
2
W
30.05.26
Vic
Hume City
South Melbourne
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Avondale
3
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Hume City
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Hume City
St. Albans Saints
0
1
L
28.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Preston Lions
3
2
W
14.03.26
Vic
Hume City
Dandenong Thunder
3
1
W
28.02.26
Vic
Hume City
Bentleigh Greens
1
0
W
13.02.26
Vic
Hume City
Altona Magic
1
3
L
Last matches: Melbourne City II
18.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Sunshine Georgies
0
1
L
04.07.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Altona Magic
3
0
W
26.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
St. Albans Saints
2
0
W
19.06.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Oakleigh Cannons
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Green Gully
3
1
W
08.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Bentleigh Greens
7
0
W
01.05.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
South Melbourne
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Avondale
1
3
L
27.03.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Heidelberg United
1
1
D
20.02.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong City
4
2
W
15.02.26
Vic
Melbourne City II
Dandenong Thunder
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.79
Draw 4.01
Home 1.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.56
Over 3.0 1.73
Over 3.25 1.97
Over 3.5 2.18
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.99
Under 2.5 2.56
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.05
Under 3.25 1.82
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 4.10
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.50
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.88
Home 1.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.92
Draw 3.95
Home 1.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.01
Draw 2.35
Home 2.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.61
Draw 2.91
Home 1.82
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 1.75 1.13
Over 2.0 1.16
Over 2.25 1.30
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.67
Over 3.25 1.91
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 3.75 2.35
Over 4.0 2.83
Over 4.25 3.14
Over 4.5 3.42
Over 4.75 4.14
Over 5.0 5.35
Over 5.25 5.65
Over 5.5 5.95
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.0 10.00
Under 1.5 4.95
Under 1.75 4.54
Under 2.0 4.10
Under 2.25 2.97
Under 2.5 2.43
Under 2.75 2.21
Under 3.0 1.98
Under 3.25 1.78
Under 3.5 1.63
Under 3.75 1.47
Under 4.0 1.33
Under 4.25 1.27
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.09
Under 5.25 1.08
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 3.90
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.10
Draw 2.55
Home 2.08
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.41
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 4.5 3.25
Under 2.5 2.55
Under 3.5 1.64
Under 4.5 1.26

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 45:20 25 47
L W W D W
2 21 13 3 5 31:16 15 42
W D W W W
3 22 12 4 6 42:28 14 40
L L L D W
4 22 12 2 8 57:30 27 38
W D L L L
5 22 11 2 9 33:33 0 35
W D W W L
6 22 9 7 6 33:26 7 34
D D D D L
7 22 7 10 5 28:28 0 31
D W D D L
8 21 8 6 7 39:26 13 30
L L D W W
9 22 7 6 9 27:29 -2 27
D L L D W
10 22 7 6 9 27:39 -12 27
W D D D L
11 22 7 5 10 26:36 -10 26
W D W L W
12 22 5 4 13 20:46 -26 19
L W L L L
13 22 4 3 15 23:48 -25 15
L L W L L
14 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D W L W W