AUSTRALIA VICTORIA NPL
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Avenger park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 2.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.60
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
2.10
BTTS Yes
63.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.60
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Avondale Win 69.9%
Draw 4.1%
Heidelberg United Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Avondale2.03
Heidelberg United1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Avondale Avondale
WWDLW
57 GF / 30 GA
Heidelberg United Heidelberg United
WLDWL
33 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.59
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
12
BTTS Yes
13
15
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Avondale Avondale 22 matches
Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 22 matches
Avondale Statistic Heidelberg United
12 Wins 9
2 Draws 7
8 Losses 6
57 Goals For 33
30 Goals Against 26
2.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
12 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 15
15 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Avondale have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Heidelberg United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Heidelberg United.

Avondale Analysis

Avondale sit 4 with 38 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 57:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Heidelberg United Analysis

Heidelberg United are currently 6 in the standings with 34 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 33:26 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Avondale won 3 times, Heidelberg United won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Avondale's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: Avondale wins 3, draws 5, Heidelberg United wins 4
Last matches: Avondale
25.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
2
W
18.07.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
10.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
0
2
L
04.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
2
3
L
26.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
1
3
L
20.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong Thunder
11
0
W
05.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Green Gully
2
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
W
25.05.26
Vic
Avondale
South Melbourne
4
0
W
16.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Hume City
0
3
L
09.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Altona Magic
5
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Sunshine Georgies
5
2
W
24.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
1
W
10.04.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
3
2
W
28.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
20.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
1
2
L
14.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
4
1
W
07.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
28.02.26
Vic
Avondale
Green Gully
5
0
W
Last matches: Heidelberg United
24.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Sunshine Georgies
0
0
D
18.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Altona Magic
0
0
D
11.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Melbourne City II
2
2
D
03.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
26.06.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Oakleigh Cannons
0
1
L
20.06.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Preston Lions
0
1
L
05.06.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Dandenong City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Dandenong Thunder
4
2
W
22.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Green Gully
1
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Bentleigh Greens
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
South Melbourne
4
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Hume City
1
2
L
24.04.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Avondale
2
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Sunshine Georgies
3
0
W
11.04.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Altona Magic
2
2
D
27.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Melbourne City II
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
St. Albans Saints
1
2
L
13.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Oakleigh Cannons
3
2
W
08.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Preston Lions
1
0
W
27.02.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Dandenong City
1
2
L
H2H: Avondale vs Heidelberg United
24.04.26
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
2
1
L
02.08.25
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
25.04.25
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
3
1
L
28.06.24
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
1
1
D
23.03.24
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
15.07.23
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
1
1
D
15.04.23
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
8
2
W
14.08.22
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
1
4
W
07.05.22
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
3
L
28.08.21
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
23.05.21
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
1
1
D
13.09.20
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
0
0
D
17.08.19
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
3
L
11.05.19
H2H
Heidelberg United
Avondale
1
1
D
Last matches: Avondale
18.07.26
Vic
Avondale
St. Albans Saints
1
1
D
04.07.26
Vic
Avondale
Preston Lions
2
3
L
20.06.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong Thunder
11
0
W
30.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Bentleigh Greens
4
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Altona Magic
5
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Avondale
Sunshine Georgies
5
2
W
18.04.26
Vic
Avondale
Melbourne City II
3
1
W
28.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Oakleigh Cannons
1
1
D
14.03.26
Vic
Avondale
Dandenong City
4
1
W
28.02.26
Vic
Avondale
Green Gully
5
0
W
14.02.26
Vic
Avondale
South Melbourne
0
2
L
22.11.25
Aus
Avondale
Moreton City Excelsior
1
3
L
15.11.25
Aus
Avondale
Preston Lions
1
1
D
09.11.25
Aus
Avondale
NWS Spirit
1
0
W
12.10.25
Aus
Avondale
Canberra FC
3
1
W
H2H at home: Avondale
02.08.25
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
1
W
23.03.24
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
8
2
W
07.05.22
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
3
L
28.08.21
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
17.08.19
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
3
L
Last matches: Heidelberg United
18.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Altona Magic
0
0
D
11.07.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Melbourne City II
2
2
D
05.06.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Dandenong City
1
4
L
22.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Green Gully
1
0
W
15.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Bentleigh Greens
2
2
D
02.05.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Hume City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Sunshine Georgies
3
0
W
22.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
St. Albans Saints
1
2
L
13.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Oakleigh Cannons
3
2
W
08.03.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Preston Lions
1
0
W
21.02.26
Vic
Heidelberg United
Dandenong Thunder
1
0
W
29.11.25
Aus
Heidelberg United
South Melbourne
0
1
L
16.11.25
Aus
Heidelberg United
South Hobart
2
2
D
31.10.25
Aus
Heidelberg United
Marconi Stallions
1
1
D
18.10.25
Aus
Heidelberg United
Wollongong Wolves
3
0
W
H2H away: Heidelberg United
02.08.25
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
1
L
23.03.24
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
8
2
L
07.05.22
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
1
3
W
28.08.21
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
0
0
D
17.08.19
H2H
Avondale
Heidelberg United
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 3.50
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.38
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.75
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.60
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.30
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 3.56
Home 2.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.54
Draw 2.29
Home 2.56
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.18
Draw 2.70
Home 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.05
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.14
Over 2.0 1.18
Over 2.25 1.33
Over 2.5 1.48
Over 2.75 1.63
Over 3.0 1.78
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.29
Over 3.75 2.59
Over 4.0 3.20
Over 4.25 3.50
Over 4.5 3.85
Over 4.75 4.75
Over 5.0 6.45
Over 5.25 6.75
Over 5.5 7.10
Over 6.5 10.50
Over 7.5 17.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 14.30
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.25 6.56
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 1.75 4.30
Under 2.0 3.86
Under 2.25 2.81
Under 2.5 2.33
Under 2.75 2.12
Under 3.0 1.84
Under 3.25 1.68
Under 3.5 1.54
Under 3.75 1.39
Under 4.0 1.26
Under 4.25 1.22
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 4.75 1.12
Under 5.0 1.05
Under 5.25 1.04
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.55
Home 1.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 2.40
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.28
Over 4.5 3.85
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.19

Standings

Victoria NPL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 45:20 25 47
L W W D W
2 21 13 3 5 31:16 15 42
W D W W W
3 22 12 4 6 42:28 14 40
L L L D W
4 22 12 2 8 57:30 27 38
W D L L L
5 22 11 2 9 33:33 0 35
W D W W L
6 22 9 7 6 33:26 7 34
D D D D L
7 22 7 10 5 28:28 0 31
D W D D L
8 21 8 6 7 39:26 13 30
L L D W W
9 22 7 6 9 27:29 -2 27
D L L D W
10 22 7 6 9 27:39 -12 27
W D D D L
11 22 7 5 10 26:36 -10 26
W D W L W
12 22 5 4 13 20:46 -26 19
L W L L L
13 22 4 3 15 23:48 -25 15
L L W L L
14 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D W L W W