PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
La Arboleda
Referee: D. Lopez
Rubio NU
Match Timeline
Nacional Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Carlos Gimenez
Rubio NU
🟨
16'
Carlos Gimenez
Rubio NU
🟥
16'
Carlos Gimenez
Rubio NU
28'
M. Cabrera · Assist: F. Jara
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
45+2'
Richard Prieto
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
46'
L. Montiel ↔ E. Sarquis
Rubio NU
🟨
50'
Mauricio Cabrera
Nacional Asuncion
52'
E. Perez
Rubio NU
🔄
61'
M. Cabrera ↔ I. Valdez
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
61'
R. C. Ramirez Antunez ↔ D. J. Colman Escobar
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
67'
R. Rojas ↔ M. Roldan
Rubio NU
🔄
68'
V. Cabanas ↔ R. Ferreira
Rubio NU
🔄
71'
R. Prieto ↔ L. Gonzales
Nacional Asuncion
🟨
73'
Lucas González
Nacional Asuncion
🟥
78'
Brian Blasi
Rubio NU
VAR
80'
Hugo Adrián Benítez
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
85'
E. Perez ↔ J. Gonzalez
Rubio NU
🔄
89'
C. Espinola ↔ A. Samudio
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
89'
O. Gaona Lugo ↔ J. Santacruz
Nacional Asuncion
🔄
90+6'
A. Cardozo Lucena ↔ L. Gomez
Rubio NU

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
61.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rubio NU Win 22.9%
Draw 20.8%
Nacional Asuncion Win 56.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rubio NU0.82
Nacional Asuncion1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rubio NU Rubio NU
WWDLW
14 GF / 23 GA
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
9
3.15
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rubio NU Rubio NU 20 matches
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 20 matches
Rubio NU Statistic Nacional Asuncion
6 Wins 9
4 Draws 8
10 Losses 3
14 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 20
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 13
11 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 6
11 Failed To Score 3
3.15 Shots On Goal 3.8
10.2 Total Shots 11.45
3.55 Corners 4.55
40.6% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Nacional Asuncion's more proactive style and Rubio NU's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Nacional Asuncion carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 35 points while Rubio NU sit 9 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional Asuncion.

Rubio NU Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Rubio NU have collected 22 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 14:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Perez (5 goals), W. Mendieta (2 goals), A. Leguizamon (1 goals), with creative support from C. Gimenez (3 assists), W. Mendieta (2 assists), F. Martinez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nacional Asuncion Analysis

Nacional Asuncion approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 35 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with a 28:20 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on I. Bailone (5 goals), I. Valdez (4 goals), H. A. Benitez (3 goals), with creative support from A. D. Canete Torres (3 assists), I. Valdez (2 assists), O. Gaona Lugo (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rubio NU won 2 times, Nacional Asuncion won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Rubio NU's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.2%)
Predicted formations: Rubio NU 4-2-3-1 / Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rubio NU wins 2, draws 3, Nacional Asuncion wins 5
Stats
Rubio NU Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 10
13 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 12
3 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
206 Total passes 364
123 Passes accurate 282
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 2 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Rubio NU
Formation
Nacional Asuncion
F. Fragueda
F. Fragueda
V. Cabanas
V. Cabanas
B. Blasi
B. Blasi
J. Vallejos
J. Vallejos
P. Alvarez Benitez
P. Alvarez Benitez
F. Martinez
F. Martinez
A. Cardozo Lucena
A. Cardozo Lucena
L. Montiel
L. Montiel
R. Rojas
R. Rojas
C. Gimenez
C. Gimenez
E. Perez
E. Perez
S. Rojas
S. Rojas
C. Espinola
C. Espinola
A. D. Canete Torres
A. D. Canete Torres
T. Gutierrez
T. Gutierrez
S. Vargas
S. Vargas
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
O. Gaona Lugo
O. Gaona Lugo
F. Jara
🎯
F. Jara
R. Prieto
R. Prieto
M. Cabrera
M. Cabrera
H. A. Benitez
H. A. Benitez
Rubio NU 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
F. Fragueda
G
13
V. Cabanas
↓ 68'
D
31
B. Blasi
🟥 78'
D
3
J. Vallejos
D
5
P. Alvarez Benitez
D
20
F. Martinez
M
15
A. Cardozo Lucena
↓ 90+6'
M
35
L. Montiel
↓ 46'
M
8
R. Rojas
↓ 67'
M
36
C. Gimenez
40
E. Perez
⚽ 52' ↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
1
T. Canteros
G
10
W. Mendieta
M
33
R. Alborno
D
21
E. Sarquis
↑ 46'
M
2
R. Ferreira
↑ 68'
38
G. Manzur
M
30
P. Ayala
M
4
J. Gonzalez
↑ 85'
D
37
M. Roldan
↑ 67'
F
19
S. Frean
M
24
L. Gomez
↑ 90+6'
D
29
O. Alfonso
F
Nacional Asuncion 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
S. Rojas
G
23
C. Espinola
↓ 89'
D
3
A. D. Canete Torres
D
4
T. Gutierrez
D
29
S. Vargas
25
R. C. Ramirez Antunez
↓ 61'
M
33
O. Gaona Lugo
↓ 89'
M
8
F. Jara
🎯 28'
M
27
R. Prieto
↓ 71' 🟨 45+2'
M
31
M. Cabrera
⚽ 28' ↓ 61' 🟨 50'
M
9
H. A. Benitez
Substitutes
1
G. Ortiz
G
18
I. Valdez
↑ 61'
F
28
A. Samudio
↑ 89'
F
11
M. Almeida
F
13
L. Meza
M
15
L. Caceres
D
6
S. Torales
M
17
J. Santacruz
↑ 89'
M
22
D. J. Colman Escobar
↑ 61'
M
5
G. Benitez
D
19
L. Gonzales
↑ 71'
32
M. Garrone
F
Last matches: Rubio NU
24.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
09.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
02.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
26.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
21.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
2
L
06.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
4
L
01.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
2
L
26.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
0
1
L
23.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
15.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
08.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
26.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
20.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
0
D
07.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
01.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
4
L
29.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
24.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
2
1
W
09.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
03.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
0
W
24.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
20.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
11.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
27.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
3
2
W
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
15.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
W
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
01.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
19.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
08.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
1
2
L
31.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
5
1
W
27.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
H2H: Rubio NU vs Nacional Asuncion
15.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
15.03.26
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
0
L
21.10.17
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
1
1
D
11.08.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
28.04.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
19.02.17
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
0
3
W
03.12.16
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
3
1
L
27.08.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
06.04.16
H2H
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
3
1
L
29.01.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
Last matches: Rubio NU
02.05.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
21.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Libertad Asuncion
3
0
W
12.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Olimpia
0
2
L
01.04.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Guarani
0
2
L
23.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Rubio NU
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
26.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
W
07.02.26
Div
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
0
1
L
29.01.26
Div
Rubio NU
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rubio NU
15.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
11.08.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
28.04.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
27.08.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
29.01.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
Last matches: Nacional Asuncion
03.05.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
1
0
W
20.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
04.04.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
0
3
L
31.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
18.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
1
2
L
09.03.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
26.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
2
2
D
15.02.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
2
0
W
27.01.26
Div
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
H2H away: Nacional Asuncion
15.05.26
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
11.08.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
W
28.04.17
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
W
27.08.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
29.01.16
H2H
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L