AUSTRIA BUNDESLIGA
11.09.2026 17:30
Innviertel Arena
Ried
Match Timeline
Red Bull Salzburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
54'
Niama Sissoko ↔ Joris Boguo
Ried
🔄
58'
Yorbe Vertessen ↔ Jesper Lindstrom
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
64'
Sota Kitano
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
66'
Stefan Schwab
Ried
🟨
66'
Abubakr Barry
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
72'
Jussef Nasrawe ↔ J. Rhodes
Ried
🔄
73'
Sota Kitano ↔ Karim Konate
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
73'
Edmund Baidoo ↔ Damir Redzic
Red Bull Salzburg
🔄
74'
Martin Rasner ↔ Lukas Malicsek
Ried
🟨
79'
M. Despotović
Ried
84'
Karim Konate
Red Bull Salzburg
86'
Philipp Pomer · Assist: Moegamat Yusuf Maart
Ried
🔄
90+2'
J. Rhodes ↔ Evan Eghosa Aisowieren
Ried
🟨
90+3'
Nikolas Veratschnig
Red Bull Salzburg
🟨
90+3'
Joris Boguo
Ried

Ried vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.4%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.4%
1.54
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.51
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Ried Win 30.8%
Draw 3.8%
Red Bull Salzburg Win 65.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ried1.6
Red Bull Salzburg2.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ried Ried
WWDLW
35 GF / 31 GA
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
WLDWL
53 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.06
Average Goals Scored
2.52
1.82
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
13
BTTS Yes
8
13
Over 2.5
14
5
Shots on Goal
6.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ried Ried 17 matches
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 21 matches
Ried Statistic Red Bull Salzburg
7 Wins 15
3 Draws 3
7 Losses 3
35 Goals For 53
31 Goals Against 19
2.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.52
1.82 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
13 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 11
1 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 6.78
16.4 Total Shots 11.56
4.6 Corners 7.67
52% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Red Bull Salzburg's more proactive style and Ried's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Red Bull Salzburg look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Red Bull Salzburg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while Ried sit 9 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Red Bull Salzburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ried Analysis

With 4 points from 5 games and a place of 9, Ried still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 6:10, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Niama Pape Sissoko (2 goals), Stefan Schwab (1 goals), Jussef Nasrawe (1 goals), with creative support from Ante Bajić (2 assists), Stefan Schwab (1 assists), Jussef Nasrawe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Red Bull Salzburg Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, with a 14:3 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on K. Konaté (3 goals), H. Tabaković (3 goals), Y. Vertessen (2 goals), with creative support from B. Mazurek (2 assists), A. Barry (2 assists), Y. Vertessen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ried won 0 times, Red Bull Salzburg won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:43 from Ried's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: Ried 4-2-3-1 / Red Bull Salzburg 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ried wins 0, draws 3, Red Bull Salzburg wins 12

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 21:7 14 18
W W L W W
2 6 5 0 1 16:4 12 15
L W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 15:4 11 14
D W W W D
4 6 3 2 1 8:6 2 11
W L D W W
5 7 2 2 3 9:12 -3 8
L D W W L
6 7 2 2 3 8:11 -3 8
W L L D W
7 7 2 2 3 6:16 -10 8
D W D L L
8 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
D W W L L
9 7 2 1 4 7:13 -6 7
D W L L W
10 6 1 2 3 6:9 -3 5
L L D L D
11
Ried Home
6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
D L W L L
12 7 1 0 6 5:12 -7 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group)
Bundesliga (Relegation Group)