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06.09.2026 17:45
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: Y. Perez
Rosario Central
Match Timeline
Newells Old Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Franco Ibarra
Rosario Central
🟨
6'
Franco Escobar
Newells Old Boys
🟨
24'
Matías Cóccaro
Newells Old Boys
⚽
45'
G. Avila · Assist: E. Copetti
Rosario Central
🔄
59'
R. Herrera ↔ J. Gomez
Newells Old Boys
🔄
60'
F. Guch ↔ M. E. Garcia
Newells Old Boys
🔄
60'
F. Escobar ↔ J. Russo
Newells Old Boys
🟨
61'
Agustín Sández
Rosario Central
🔄
66'
A. Sandez ↔ A. Soto
Rosario Central
🔄
66'
V. Pizarro ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
🔄
75'
A. Rodriguez ↔ G. Cantizano
Rosario Central
🟨
76'
Gastón Ávila
Rosario Central
🔄
76'
E. Copetti ↔ M. Ruben
Rosario Central
🟨
79'
Martín Ortega
Newells Old Boys
🔄
80'
W. Mazzantti ↔ I. Ramirez
Newells Old Boys
🟨
82'
Luca Regiardo
Newells Old Boys
🔄
89'
M. Ortega ↔ F. Scarpeccio
Newells Old Boys
🟨
90+1'
Alexis Soto
Rosario Central
🟨
90+1'
Santiago Solari
Newells Old Boys
VAR
90+5'
Juan Ignacio Ramírez
Newells Old Boys
🔄
90+6'
A. Di Maria ↔ S. Zaracho
Rosario Central
⚽
90'
M. Coccaro · Assist: I. Ramirez
Newells Old Boys

Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 52.7%
Draw 16.2%
Newells Old Boys Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.32
Newells Old Boys0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
44 GF / 31 GA
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
WLDWL
23 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.96
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
16
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
9
4.82
Shots on Goal
3.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 36 matches
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 24 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Newells Old Boys
18 Wins 6
8 Draws 8
10 Losses 10
44 Goals For 23
31 Goals Against 35
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
16 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 19
17 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 9
4.82 Shots On Goal 3.09
13.91 Total Shots 9.39
5.29 Corners 3.61
56.9% Ball Possession 42.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Rosario Central's more proactive style and Newells Old Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Newells Old Boys. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Rosario Central arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 28 points compared to Newells Old Boys in 14 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Rosario Central Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 28 points from 16 games, Rosario Central bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a 20:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Ángel Di María (3 goals), Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Julián Fernández (2 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Franco Ibarra (2 assists), Carlos Quintana (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Newells Old Boys Analysis

Newells Old Boys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 15 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:27 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Juan Ignacio Ramírez (3 goals), Matías Cóccaro (2 goals), Jeronimo Russo (1 goals), with creative support from Jeronimo Russo (2 assists), Walter Mazzantti (1 assists), Facundo Guch (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 10 times, Newells Old Boys won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:5 from Rosario Central's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Newells Old Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 10, draws 4, Newells Old Boys wins 1

Standings

Clausura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 6 4 2 17:9 8 22
W D W W D
2 12 6 4 2 14:7 7 22
W W W D D
3 12 6 4 2 16:11 5 22
D W L D D
4 12 6 2 4 21:18 3 20
D W L D W
5 12 5 4 3 11:10 1 19
L W W W D
6 12 5 4 3 17:17 0 19
D D D D W
7 12 5 3 4 10:9 1 18
W W L D D
8 12 5 3 4 15:19 -4 18
L D W W L
9 12 5 2 5 15:13 2 17
D W L W W
10 12 3 5 4 10:10 0 14
D L L L W
11 12 3 4 5 14:18 -4 13
W D D D L
12 12 3 3 6 11:13 -2 12
L L L L L
13 12 3 2 7 13:19 -6 11
L W W L L
14 12 2 2 8 13:20 -7 8
L L W L W
15 12 1 3 8 6:16 -10 6
L L L L L
Knockout Phase