Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Rodina Moskva Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fakel Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rodina Moskva0.9
Fakel1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rodina Moskva
WWDLW
8 GF / 22 GA
Fakel
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Rodina Moskva
12 matches
Fakel
12 matches
| Rodina Moskva | Statistic | Fakel |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 8 | Goals For | 20 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Rodina Moskva won 2 times, Fakel won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Rodina Moskva's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Rodina Moskva - / Fakel 5-3-2
H2H summary: Rodina Moskva wins 2, draws 0, Fakel wins 0
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
25.07.26
Pre
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Moscow
0
3
L
02.07.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Akron
0
5
L
27.06.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chelyabinsk
0
1
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
18.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Sochi
2
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC UFA
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Spartak Kostroma
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Enisey
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
FC Rostov
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
Last matches: Fakel
25.07.26
Pre
Fakel
Dinamo Makhachkala
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
07.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
3
1
W
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Zhenys
5
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Grafičar
1
1
D
27.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Qizilqum
3
3
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H: Rodina Moskva vs Fakel
13.04.26
H2H
Fakel
Rodina Moskva
1
3
W
15.09.25
H2H
Rodina Moskva
Fakel
2
0
W
Last matches: Rodina Moskva
02.07.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Akron
0
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Chernomorets
0
0
D
26.01.26
Fri
Rodina Moskva
Shanghai Shenhua
1
1
D
H2H at home: Rodina Moskva
15.09.25
H2H
Rodina Moskva
Fakel
2
0
W
Last matches: Fakel
15.07.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Rostov
1
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Fakel
Akron
1
1
D
19.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Sogdiana
1
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Fakel
Baltika
0
1
L
05.02.26
Fri
Fakel
FC Sochi
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Sloga Doboj
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Fakel
Radnik Surdulica
1
0
W
H2H away: Fakel
15.09.25
H2H
Rodina Moskva
Fakel
2
0
L