Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
69.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Guayaquil City FC
24 matches
Universidad Catolica
24 matches
| Guayaquil City FC | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 11 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 38 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.7 |
| 8.1 | Total Shots | 14.09 |
| 2.95 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 32 points while Guayaquil City FC sit 12 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Universidad Catolica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Guayaquil City FC sit 12 with 23 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (7 goals), D. Díaz (4 goals), P. González (2 goals), with creative support from J. Ayovi (4 assists), D. Díaz (2 assists), S. Laurino (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Universidad Catolica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 32 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 31:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:25 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Guayaquil City FC
3
3
1
7
4
4
Lineups
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Mushuc Runa SC
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Manta FC
Guayaquil City FC
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Orense SC
Guayaquil City FC
Deportivo Cuenca
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Macara
Guayaquil City FC
Leones del Norte
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 42 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 0 | 37 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Guayaquil City FC
Home
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|