ECUADOR LIGA PRO
27.07.2026 21:30
Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Referee: Bryan Loayza, Ecuador
Guayaquil City FC
Match Timeline
Universidad Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
D. Diaz ↔ D. Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
57'
P. Gonzalez ↔ E. Cabezas
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
66'
J. Quinonez ↔ E. P. Ladines Calvache
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
71'
E. Mejia ↔ E. Valencia
Universidad Catolica
🔄
76'
J. Fajardo ↔ B. Palacios
Universidad Catolica
🔄
76'
M. Alonso ↔ G. Anangono
Universidad Catolica
🔄
76'
F. Martinez ↔ J. Chala
Universidad Catolica
🔄
88'
E. Mero ↔ M. Bolanos
Guayaquil City FC
VAR
90+9'
Diego Dorregaray
Guayaquil City FC
🔄
90+1'
A. Londono ↔ S. Yanez
Universidad Catolica

Guayaquil City FC vs Universidad Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.8%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Guayaquil City FC Win 30.3%
Draw 20.2%
Universidad Catolica Win 49.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Guayaquil City FC0.98
Universidad Catolica1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC
WWDLW
22 GF / 27 GA
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
WLDWL
38 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.58
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
11
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
11
3.14
Shots on Goal
4.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Guayaquil City FC Guayaquil City FC 24 matches
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica 24 matches
Guayaquil City FC Statistic Universidad Catolica
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
10 Losses 8
22 Goals For 38
27 Goals Against 26
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
11 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 4
3.14 Shots On Goal 4.7
8.1 Total Shots 14.09
2.95 Corners 4.78
52.6% Ball Possession 57.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Guayaquil City FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 32 points while Guayaquil City FC sit 12 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Universidad Catolica arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Guayaquil City FC Analysis

Guayaquil City FC sit 12 with 23 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 17:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mero (7 goals), D. Díaz (4 goals), P. González (2 goals), with creative support from J. Ayovi (4 assists), D. Díaz (2 assists), S. Laurino (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad Catolica Analysis

Universidad Catolica approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 32 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 31:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), E. Mejía (3 goals), with creative support from M. Díaz (5 assists), E. Mejía (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Guayaquil City FC won 2 times, Universidad Catolica won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:25 from Guayaquil City FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Guayaquil City FC 4-2-3-1 / Universidad Catolica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Guayaquil City FC wins 2, draws 5, Universidad Catolica wins 8

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
3 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
4 29 13 9 7 49:26 23 48
W D D W D
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 29 9 6 14 35:45 -10 33
W L L L W
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs