ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
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Spotland Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.8%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 48.8%
Draw 15.7%
Crawley Town Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.34
Crawley Town1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 5 matches
Crawley Town Crawley Town 4 matches
Rochdale Statistic Crawley Town
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 3
7 Goals For 2
13 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
4 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 2 times, Crawley Town won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Rochdale's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 2, draws 1, Crawley Town wins 3
Last matches: Rochdale
15.08.26
Lea
Rochdale
Newport County
0
3
L
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
United of Manchester
0
2
L
10.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
2
2
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
18.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Braintree
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Sutton Utd
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
17.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
3
L
14.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
3
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
28.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
Last matches: Crawley Town
15.08.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Crewe
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Reading
0
1
L
28.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Oxford United
1
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Eastleigh
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Salford City
0
0
D
25.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
3
3
D
18.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
1
3
L
06.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Grimsby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Newport County
2
0
W
28.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Gillingham
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barnet
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Colchester
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Oldham
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Milton Keynes Dons
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Tranmere
0
2
L
10.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Cambridge United
0
3
L
H2H: Rochdale vs Crawley Town
25.03.23
H2H
Crawley Town
Rochdale
2
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
1
1
D
26.03.22
H2H
Crawley Town
Rochdale
1
0
L
09.10.21
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
0
1
L
17.01.15
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
4
1
W
06.09.14
H2H
Crawley Town
Rochdale
0
4
W
Last matches: Rochdale
28.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
FC Halifax Town
2
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Farnham Town
2
2
D
19.07.26
Fri
Rochdale
Al-Rayyan SC
3
3
D
03.05.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
York
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Wealdstone
2
1
W
03.04.26
Nat
Rochdale
Morecambe
2
4
L
21.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Tamworth
3
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boston United
1
0
W
03.03.26
Nat
Rochdale
Brackley Town
3
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Woking
3
0
W
17.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Forest Green
2
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Carlisle
1
0
W
03.02.26
Nat
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
4
1
W
27.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Southend
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Rochdale
Truro City
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Rochdale
Hartlepool
1
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Eastleigh
2
0
W
15.11.25
Nat
Rochdale
Aldershot Town
1
0
W
H2H at home: Rochdale
27.08.22
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
1
1
D
09.10.21
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
0
1
L
17.01.15
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
4
1
W
Last matches: Crawley Town
28.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Oxford United
1
3
L
25.07.26
Fri
Crawley Town
Eastleigh
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Accrington ST
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
1
3
L
03.04.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Newport County
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Fleetwood Town
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Colchester
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Oldham
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Milton Keynes Dons
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Tranmere
0
2
L
27.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Walsall
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barrow
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
0
3
L
01.01.26
Lea
Crawley Town
Barnet
1
2
L
20.12.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
0
1
L
09.12.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Bromley
1
3
L
29.11.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Salford City
3
4
L
15.11.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Gillingham
2
2
D
01.11.25
FA
Crawley Town
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Crawley Town
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
H2H away: Crawley Town
27.08.22
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
1
1
D
09.10.21
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
0
1
W
17.01.15
H2H
Rochdale
Crawley Town
4
1
L

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 3:0 3 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
11 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
14 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
15 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
19 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
21 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 0:3 -3 0
L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League