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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
22.08.2026 14:00
Spotland
Referee: Z. Kennard-Kettle
Rochdale
Match Timeline
Crawley Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
O. Aderoju
Crawley Town
🟨
13'
Priestley Farquharson
Crawley Town
🟨
28'
Daniel Moss
Rochdale
🟨
34'
Kaiden Wilson
Rochdale
🟨
45+1'
Sam Sherring
Rochdale
🟨
48'
Johnny Russell
Crawley Town
🟨
48'
Jude Arthurs
Crawley Town
⚽
54'
E. Ebanks-Landell · Assist: R. East
Rochdale
🔄
63'
J. Russell ↔ L. Richards
Crawley Town
🟨
69'
Nils Ramming
Rochdale
🟨
69'
Louie Watson
Crawley Town
⚽
72'
L. Watson
Crawley Town
🔄
82'
R. East ↔ K. Taylor
Rochdale
🔄
82'
E. Francis ↔ B. Adeeko
Rochdale
🔄
87'
H. Gilmour ↔ I. Henderson
Rochdale
🔄
87'
D. Moss ↔ Z. Silcott-Duberry
Rochdale
🔄
89'
K. Jennings ↔ K. Krasniqi
Crawley Town
🔄
90+3'
O. Aderoju ↔ D. Orsi-Dadomo
Crawley Town

Rochdale vs Crawley Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Rochdale Win 48.8%
Draw 15.7%
Crawley Town Win 35.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rochdale1.34
Crawley Town1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rochdale Rochdale
WWDLW
7 GF / 13 GA
Crawley Town Crawley Town
WLDWL
2 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
0.5
2.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rochdale Rochdale 5 matches
Crawley Town Crawley Town 4 matches
Rochdale Statistic Crawley Town
0 Wins 1
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 3
7 Goals For 2
13 Goals Against 5
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 0.5
2.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
3 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 1
4 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 4
5 Total Shots 9
6 Corners 4
68% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Rochdale won 2 times, Crawley Town won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Rochdale's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Rochdale 3-4-2-1 / Crawley Town 4-4-2
H2H summary: Rochdale wins 2, draws 1, Crawley Town wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League