Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 0%
Draw 0%
Velez Sarsfield Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.13
Velez Sarsfield1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate
WWDLW
32 GF / 18 GA
Velez Sarsfield
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
8
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
5
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
River Plate
23 matches
Velez Sarsfield
19 matches
| River Plate | Statistic | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 24 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.6 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 16.65 | Total Shots | 12.41 |
| 5.75 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 65.1% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 5 times, Velez Sarsfield won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from River Plate's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: River Plate wins 5, draws 5, Velez Sarsfield wins 5
Last matches: River Plate
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
1
4
L
02.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
11.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
01.05.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
20.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
14.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
4
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
1
1
D
27.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
06.09.25
Sup
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
H2H: River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield
22.02.26
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
L
16.11.25
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
4
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
5
0
W
03.09.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
2
0
L
30.05.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
2
2
D
17.07.22
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
2
2
D
07.07.22
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
30.06.22
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
L
14.08.21
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
2
0
W
22.09.19
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
04.02.19
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
2
W
24.02.18
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
L
01.10.16
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
W
Last matches: River Plate
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
1
4
L
28.01.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
12.01.26
Fri
River Plate
Millonarios
1
0
W
H2H at home: River Plate
04.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
4
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
5
0
W
07.07.22
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
14.08.21
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
2
0
W
22.09.19
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
L
01.10.16
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
W
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
20.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
H2H away: Velez Sarsfield
04.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
4
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
04.02.24
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
5
0
L
07.07.22
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
14.08.21
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
2
0
L
22.09.19
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
1
2
W
01.10.16
H2H
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
L
Standings
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
River Plate
Home
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Knockout Phase