PORTUGAL PRIMEIRA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
FC Porto
Live Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
59'
J. Kiwior
FC Porto
🔄
62'
H. Lee ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
62'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
67'
G. Veiga · Assist: William Gomes
FC Porto

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds 1.26
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
1.26
BTTS No
71.7%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
2.29
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
1.21
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.80
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 65.9%
Draw 3.8%
Arouca Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.18
Arouca0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
6 GF / 2 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 4 matches
Arouca Arouca 7 matches
FC Porto Statistic Arouca
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
6 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 4
12 Total Shots 9
6.5 Corners 3.5
53% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 42:9 from FC Porto's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 1, Arouca wins 2
Stats
FC Porto FC Porto
Arouca Arouca
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 0
7 Fouls 6
5 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Goal 1
8 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 1
6 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
364 Total passes 256
315 Passes accurate 219
1.01 expected_goals 0.10
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

FC Porto
Formation
Arouca
Diogo Costa
Diogo Costa
Alberto Costa
Alberto Costa
Jan Bednarek
Jan Bednarek
Jakub Kiwior
Jakub Kiwior
Zaidu Sanusi
Zaidu Sanusi
Victor Froholdt
Victor Froholdt
Pablo Rosario
Pablo Rosario
Gabri Veiga
Gabri Veiga
William Gomes
🎯
William Gomes
André Silva
André Silva
Pepê
Pepê
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Tiago Esgaio
Tiago Esgaio
Javi Sánchez
Javi Sánchez
Jose Fontán
Jose Fontán
Orest Lebedenko
Orest Lebedenko
Espen Van Ee
Espen Van Ee
Taichi Fukui
Taichi Fukui
Alfonso Trezza
Alfonso Trezza
Hyun-ju Lee
Hyun-ju Lee
Naïs Djouahra
Naïs Djouahra
Ivan Barbero
Ivan Barbero
FC Porto 4-3-3
Starting XI
99
Diogo Costa
G
20
Alberto Costa
D
5
Jan Bednarek
D
4
Jakub Kiwior
D
12
Zaidu Sanusi
D
8
Victor Froholdt
M
13
Pablo Rosario
M
10
Gabri Veiga
⚽ 67'
M
7
William Gomes
🎯 67'
F
19
André Silva
F
11
Pepê
F
Substitutes
50
João Afonso
G
24
João Costa
G
21
Dominik Prpić
D
18
Nehuén Pérez
D
74
Francisco Moura
D
22
Alan Varela
M
57
Duarte Cunha
F
16
Hwang In-beom
M
6
Stephen Eustaquio
M
27
Deniz Gül
F
59
Tiago Andrade
F
17
Borja Sainz
F
Arouca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
G
28
Tiago Esgaio
D
15
Javi Sánchez
D
3
Jose Fontán
D
18
Orest Lebedenko
D
6
Espen Van Ee
M
8
Taichi Fukui
M
19
Alfonso Trezza
M
14
Hyun-ju Lee
↓ 62'
M
7
Naïs Djouahra
M
17
Ivan Barbero
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
71
Martim Duarte
G
1
Jakub Vinarčík
G
37
Mario Climent
D
4
Diogo Monteiro
D
5
Boris Popović
D
21
Mateo Flores
M
89
Pedro Santos
M
10
Pablo Gozálbez
↑ 62'
M
77
Si-hoo Park
F
23
Dylan Nandín
↑ 62'
F
9
Fally Mayulu
F
24
Brian Mansilla
F
Last matches: FC Porto
15.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
Aston Villa
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
16.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
3
1
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
08.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Benfica
2
2
D
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
H2H: FC Porto vs Arouca
27.02.26
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
29.09.25
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
W
01.03.25
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
0
2
W
29.09.24
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
12.02.24
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
3
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
1
D
08.05.23
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
0
1
W
11.01.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
28.12.22
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
5
1
W
06.02.22
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
0
2
W
28.08.21
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
W
10.03.17
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
W
22.10.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
W
07.02.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
2
L
12.09.15
H2H
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
W
Last matches: FC Porto
09.08.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
FC Porto
Aston Villa
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Santa Clara
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
FC Porto
Alverca
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Tondela
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
FC Porto
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
FC Porto
Famalicao
2
2
D
19.03.26
UEF
FC Porto
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
FC Porto
Moreirense
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Rio Ave
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
FC Porto
Sporting CP
1
1
D
29.01.26
UEF
FC Porto
Rangers
3
1
W
26.01.26
Pri
FC Porto
GIL Vicente
3
0
W
29.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
AVS
2
0
W
15.12.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estrela
3
1
W
11.12.25
UEF
FC Porto
Malmo FF
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
Estoril
1
0
W
27.11.25
UEF
FC Porto
Nice
3
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
FC Porto
SC Braga
2
1
W
H2H at home: FC Porto
27.02.26
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
W
29.09.24
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
03.09.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
1
D
11.01.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
W
28.12.22
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
5
1
W
28.08.21
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
W
22.10.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
W
07.02.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
2
L
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
H2H away: Arouca
27.02.26
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
L
03.09.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
1
D
11.01.23
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
4
0
L
28.12.22
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
5
1
L
28.08.21
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
L
22.10.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
3
0
L
07.02.16
H2H
FC Porto
Arouca
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 10.75
Draw 6.34
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.79
Draw 2.73
Home 1.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 2.75 1.84
Over 3.0 2.12
Over 3.25 2.43
Over 3.5 2.72
Over 4.5 5.22
Under 1.5 4.41
Under 2.25 2.72
Under 2.5 2.29
Under 2.75 2.04
Under 3.0 1.76
Under 3.25 1.59
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.00
Draw 5.25
Home 1.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.50
Draw 2.62
Home 1.67
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.00
Draw 3.00
Home 1.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.33
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 11.30
Draw 6.59
Home 1.26
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 8.10
Draw 2.69
Home 1.64
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 8.10
Draw 3.12
Home 1.51
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.20
Over 2.0 1.25
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.01
Over 3.25 2.25
Over 3.5 2.51
Over 3.75 2.97
Over 4.0 3.85
Over 4.25 4.20
Over 4.5 4.55
Over 4.75 5.69
Over 5.0 8.00
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 41.00
Under 0.5 15.50
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.25 6.06
Under 1.5 4.25
Under 1.75 3.88
Under 2.0 3.44
Under 2.25 2.73
Under 2.5 2.28
Under 2.75 2.04
Under 3.0 1.69
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 13.00
Draw 6.25
Home 1.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 9.50
Draw 2.70
Home 1.55
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 9.00
Draw 3.20
Home 1.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.19
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.80
Over 3.0 2.06
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.60
Over 4.5 4.40
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.66
Under 3.25 1.52
Under 3.5 1.42
Under 4.5 1.16