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23.08.2026 19:30
Estádio do Dragão
Referee: J. Pinheiro
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
59'
Jakub Kiwior
FC Porto
🔄
62'
H. Lee ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
62'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
⚽
67'
G. Veiga · Assist: William Gomes
FC Porto
🔄
72'
Andre Silva ↔ D. Gul
FC Porto
🔄
72'
E. van Ee ↔ Pedro Santos
Arouca
🔄
72'
A. Trezza ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🔄
76'
G. Veiga ↔ Hwang In-Beom
FC Porto
🔄
76'
William Gomes ↔ B. Sainz
FC Porto
🟨
83'
Hwang In-beom
FC Porto
⚽
86'
B. Sainz · Assist: Pepe
FC Porto
🔄
88'
J. Bednarek ↔ N. Perez
FC Porto
🔄
88'
Tiago Esgaio ↔ M. Flores
Arouca

FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.9%
- ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 65.9%
Draw 3.8%
Arouca Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.18
Arouca0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
W W W L
6 GF / 2 GA
Arouca Arouca
W W W L D
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 4 matches
Arouca Arouca 7 matches
FC Porto Statistic Arouca
3 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
6 Goals For 8
2 Goals Against 5
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
1 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 4
11.5 Total Shots 9.5
6.5 Corners 3.5
53% Ball Possession 46.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 12 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:8 from FC Porto's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 12, draws 1, Arouca wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 10 0 0 25:4 21 30
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 27:8 19 25
W W W L W
3 10 6 3 1 23:11 12 21
W L W D D
4 10 6 3 1 15:6 9 21
W L W D W
5 10 6 2 2 13:7 6 20
W W W D L
6 10 6 2 2 15:12 3 20
W W W W W
7 10 4 3 3 8:7 1 15
D L W W D
8 10 4 2 4 12:11 1 14
W L L L D
9 10 4 2 4 13:17 -4 14
W W L D W
10 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
L L W W W
11 10 2 4 4 14:14 0 10
L W L W D
12 10 2 4 4 15:19 -4 10
L L L L D
13 10 2 3 5 10:10 0 9
D W L D L
14 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
15 10 2 1 7 10:19 -9 7
L W L L L
16 10 2 1 7 9:23 -14 7
L L W L D
17 10 2 1 7 5:19 -14 7
L W L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2