ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental
Referee: Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
River Plate
Match Timeline
Rosario Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Joaquín Freitas
River Plate
🟨
10'
Lautaro Rivero
River Plate
🟨
17'
Fausto Vera
River Plate
27'
N. Otamendi
Rosario Central
🟨
34'
Emanuel Coronel
Rosario Central
VAR
37'
Nicolás Otamendi
River Plate
🟨
41'
Lucas Martínez Quarta
River Plate
🔄
46'
L. Pereyra ↔ T. Galvan
River Plate
🔄
63'
Fausto Vera ↔ L. Beltran
River Plate
🟨
65'
Ángel Di María
Rosario Central
🔄
67'
J. Freitas ↔ J. Meza
River Plate
🔄
70'
V. Pizarro ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
🟨
80'
Franco Ibarra
Rosario Central
🔄
82'
J. Campaz ↔ P. Fernandez
Rosario Central
🟨
83'
Emanuel Coronel
Rosario Central
🟥
83'
Emanuel Coronel
Rosario Central
🔄
83'
E. Copetti ↔ T. Badaloni
Rosario Central
🔄
84'
L. Rivero ↔ V. Lucero
River Plate
🔄
85'
A. Di Maria ↔ F. Mallo Blanco
Rosario Central

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 56.5%
Draw 16.6%
Rosario Central Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.11
Rosario Central1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
33 GF / 23 GA
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WLDWL
37 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.28
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
9
BTTS Yes
13
8
Over 2.5
14
5.41
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 26 matches
Rosario Central Rosario Central 29 matches
River Plate Statistic Rosario Central
13 Wins 15
4 Draws 6
9 Losses 8
33 Goals For 37
23 Goals Against 25
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
9 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 9
5.41 Shots On Goal 4.93
16.27 Total Shots 13.52
5.73 Corners 4.63
66% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rosario Central. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

River Plate Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 16 games, River Plate bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Sebastián Driussi (2 goals), Juan Fernando Quintero (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), Joaquín Freitas (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Rosario Central Analysis

Rosario Central arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 28 points after 16 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Enzo Copetti (3 goals), Julián Fernández (2 goals), Ángel Di María (1 goals), with creative support from Ángel Di María (2 assists), Julián Fernández (1 assists), Gastón Ávila (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 6 times, Rosario Central won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from River Plate's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.4%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: River Plate wins 6, draws 5, Rosario Central wins 4
Stats
River Plate River Plate
Rosario Central Rosario Central
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
17
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 4
15 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 3
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 3
17 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 5
9 Shots outsidebox 7
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
413 Total passes 230
329 Passes accurate 130
2.07 expected_goals 0.57
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

River Plate
Formation
Rosario Central
S. Beltran
S. Beltran
G. Montiel
G. Montiel
L. Martinez Quarta
L. Martinez Quarta
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
L. Rivero
L. Rivero
Fausto Vera
Fausto Vera
A. Moreno
A. Moreno
J. Freitas
J. Freitas
L. Pereyra
L. Pereyra
F. Colidio
F. Colidio
R. Borre
R. Borre
C. Ledesma
C. Ledesma
E. Coronel
E. Coronel
I. Ovando
I. Ovando
G. Avila
G. Avila
A. Sandez
A. Sandez
F. Ibarra
F. Ibarra
V. Pizarro
V. Pizarro
G. Cantizano
G. Cantizano
A. Di Maria
A. Di Maria
J. Campaz
J. Campaz
E. Copetti
E. Copetti
River Plate 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
S. Beltran
G
29
G. Montiel
D
28
L. Martinez Quarta
🟨 41'
D
30
N. Otamendi
⚽ 27'
D
13
L. Rivero
↓ 84' 🟨 10'
D
15
Fausto Vera
↓ 63' 🟨 17'
M
6
A. Moreno
M
35
J. Freitas
↓ 67' 🟨 5'
M
25
L. Pereyra
↓ 46'
M
11
F. Colidio
M
19
R. Borre
F
Substitutes
33
E. Centurion
G
20
G. Gonzalez
D
24
J. Meza
↑ 67'
M
18
L. Beltran
↑ 63'
F
26
T. Galvan
↑ 46'
M
43
V. Lucero
↑ 84'
M
31
F. Gonzalez
D
44
L. Silva
M
Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
C. Ledesma
G
32
E. Coronel
🟨 34' 🟨 83' 🟥 83'
D
46
I. Ovando
D
13
G. Avila
D
3
A. Sandez
D
5
F. Ibarra
🟨 80'
M
20
V. Pizarro
↓ 70'
M
26
G. Cantizano
M
11
A. Di Maria
↓ 85' 🟨 65'
M
8
J. Campaz
↓ 82'
M
22
E. Copetti
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Werner
G
31
F. Navarro
↑ 70'
M
39
F. Oviedo
F
19
S. Segovia
M
28
P. Fernandez
↑ 82'
M
33
A. Soto
D
15
F. Mallo Blanco
↑ 85'
D
2
S. Zaracho
D
16
T. Badaloni
↑ 83'
F
47
L. Raffin
D
42
E. Veron
D
7
M. Cabrera
F
Last matches: River Plate
16.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
08.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
0
1
L
29.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
25.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
Last matches: Rosario Central
16.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
1
0
W
14.08.26
CON
Rosario Central
Corinthians
0
0
D
07.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Aldosivi
2
1
W
29.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
0
0
D
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
4
0
W
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independiente
3
1
W
05.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Tigre
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
09.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
H2H: River Plate vs Rosario Central
02.08.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
02.02.26
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
0
D
06.10.25
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
2
1
L
30.03.25
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
2
D
08.12.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
4
0
W
08.04.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
1
W
23.12.23
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
2
W
10.12.23
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
11.11.23
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
3
1
L
24.07.23
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
3
3
D
16.10.22
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
2
L
28.11.21
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
2
2
D
21.02.21
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
3
0
W
29.11.20
H2H
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
2
W
Last matches: River Plate
16.08.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
2
0
W
25.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
1
4
L
28.01.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
12.01.26
Fri
River Plate
Millonarios
1
0
W
H2H at home: River Plate
02.08.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
1
L
16.05.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
30.03.25
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
2
D
08.12.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
4
0
W
08.04.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
1
W
10.12.23
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
16.10.22
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
2
L
21.02.21
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
3
0
W
Last matches: Rosario Central
16.08.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Barracas Central
1
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Belgrano Cordoba
1
2
L
31.05.26
Cop
Rosario Central
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
16.05.26
Lig
Rosario Central
River Plate
0
1
L
29.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
UCV
3
0
W
24.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Rosario Central
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Huracan
1
3
L
23.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
11.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Argentinos JRS
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Aldosivi
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Rosario Central
Racing Club
2
1
W
H2H away: Rosario Central
02.08.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
1
W
16.05.26
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
L
30.03.25
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
2
D
08.12.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
4
0
L
08.04.24
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
2
1
L
10.12.23
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
0
0
D
16.10.22
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
2
W
21.02.21
H2H
River Plate
Rosario Central
3
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W L L L L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L W W W W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W W D L
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L W W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W D L W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L L W W W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D W D W L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
W W W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W L D W L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W L D W D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D L L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D L W
Knockout Phase