19.09.2026 22:00
El Monumental

River Plate vs Huracan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 65%
Draw 6.4%
Huracan Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.16
Huracan0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
45 GF / 31 GA
Huracan Huracan
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.03
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
13
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
10
5.34
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 33 matches
Huracan Huracan 30 matches
River Plate Statistic Huracan
17 Wins 10
5 Draws 12
11 Losses 8
45 Goals For 31
31 Goals Against 26
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
13 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 10
5.34 Shots On Goal 3.93
16.03 Total Shots 12.07
5.31 Corners 3.96
64.8% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Huracan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with River Plate expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Huracan in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huracan having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 16 matches. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Facundo Colidio (4 goals), T. Galván (3 goals), G. Montiel (3 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), T. Galván (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Huracan Analysis

Huracan sit 7 with 22 points after 16 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Caicedo (6 goals), Ó. Romero (2 goals), L. Gil (1 goals), with creative support from L. Gil (2 assists), C. Ibáñez (2 assists), Ó. Cortés (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 5 times, Huracan won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:12 from River Plate's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Huracan 4-3-3
H2H summary: River Plate wins 5, draws 4, Huracan wins 4

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase