ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental
Referee: Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
River Plate
Match Timeline
Barracas Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Ezequiel Centurión
River Plate
22'
G. Morales
Barracas Central
VAR
43'
Lucas Martínez Quarta
River Plate
🟨
44'
Kevin Jappert
Barracas Central
🔄
46'
L. Pereyra ↔ L. Beltran
River Plate
🔄
46'
Fausto Vera ↔ J. Freitas
River Plate
🟨
52'
Norberto Briasco
Barracas Central
🔄
58'
N. Briasco ↔ J. Candia
Barracas Central
🔄
58'
G. Morales ↔ G. Maroni
Barracas Central
🔄
67'
F. Colidio ↔ A. Correa
River Plate
🔄
67'
T. Porra ↔ F. Tobio
Barracas Central
🔄
67'
Y. Rak ↔ I. A. Guaraz
Barracas Central
🔄
68'
T. Galvan ↔ M. Arambarri
River Plate
🟨
72'
Mauro Arambarri
River Plate
🟨
78'
Jhonatan Candia
Barracas Central
🟨
81'
Dardo Miloc
Barracas Central
🟨
88'
Ivan Guaraz
Barracas Central
🔄
90'
I. Tapia ↔ E. Pereyra
Barracas Central

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
River Plate Win 43.9%
Draw 17.2%
Barracas Central Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
River Plate1.2
Barracas Central0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
River Plate River Plate
WWDLW
33 GF / 21 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
7
5.6
Shots on Goal
3.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

River Plate River Plate 24 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 18 matches
River Plate Statistic Barracas Central
13 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
7 Losses 5
33 Goals For 18
21 Goals Against 17
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
9 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 6
5.6 Shots On Goal 3.56
16.65 Total Shots 10.38
5.75 Corners 2
65.1% Ball Possession 39.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights River Plate's more proactive style and Barracas Central's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with River Plate expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Barracas Central in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barracas Central having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barracas Central.

River Plate Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 16 games, River Plate bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 22:12, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Colidio (5 goals), S. Driussi (5 goals), G. Montiel (4 goals), with creative support from F. Colidio (3 assists), J. Quintero (3 assists), A. Moreno (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Barracas Central Analysis

So far, Barracas Central have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 21 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Insua (3 goals), F. Tobio (2 goals), D. Martinez (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (3 assists), R. Insua (1 assists), Facundo Bruera (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, River Plate won 7 times, Barracas Central won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:4 from River Plate's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: River Plate 4-2-3-1 / Barracas Central 3-4-3
H2H summary: River Plate wins 7, draws 0, Barracas Central wins 2
Stats
River Plate River Plate
Barracas Central Barracas Central
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
3 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 21
3 Offsides 1
76% Ball Possession 24%
15 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Goal 2
9 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
610 Total passes 199
524 Passes accurate 102
0.57 expected_goals 0.44
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

River Plate
Formation
Barracas Central
S. Beltran
S. Beltran
G. Montiel
G. Montiel
L. Martinez Quarta
L. Martinez Quarta
N. Otamendi
N. Otamendi
M. Acuna
M. Acuna
Fausto Vera
Fausto Vera
L. Silva
L. Silva
T. Galvan
T. Galvan
L. Pereyra
L. Pereyra
F. Colidio
F. Colidio
R. Borre
R. Borre
M. Mino
M. Mino
R. Barrios
R. Barrios
K. Jappert
K. Jappert
Y. Rak
Y. Rak
N. Demartini
N. Demartini
R. Insua
R. Insua
T. Porra
T. Porra
D. Miloc
D. Miloc
I. Tapia
I. Tapia
G. Morales
G. Morales
N. Briasco
N. Briasco
River Plate 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
41
S. Beltran
G
29
G. Montiel
D
28
L. Martinez Quarta
D
30
N. Otamendi
D
21
M. Acuna
D
15
Fausto Vera
↓ 46'
M
44
L. Silva
M
26
T. Galvan
↓ 68'
M
25
L. Pereyra
↓ 46'
M
11
F. Colidio
↓ 67'
M
19
R. Borre
F
Substitutes
33
E. Centurion
🟨 -5'
G
8
M. Arambarri
↑ 68' 🟨 72'
M
20
G. Gonzalez
D
36
U. Gimenez
D
24
J. Meza
M
10
A. Correa
↑ 67'
F
18
L. Beltran
↑ 46'
F
13
L. Rivero
D
31
F. Gonzalez
D
35
J. Freitas
↑ 46'
F
Barracas Central 5-3-2
Starting XI
30
M. Mino
G
13
R. Barrios
D
14
K. Jappert
🟨 44'
D
15
Y. Rak
↓ 67'
D
31
N. Demartini
D
6
R. Insua
D
8
T. Porra
↓ 67'
M
5
D. Miloc
🟨 81'
M
10
I. Tapia
↓ 90'
M
9
G. Morales
⚽ 22' ↓ 58'
F
11
N. Briasco
↓ 58' 🟨 52'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Espinola
G
25
Y. Gordillo
M
20
J. Candia
↑ 58' 🟨 78'
F
37
G. Campi
D
33
G. Maroni
↑ 58'
M
7
J. Barbieri
F
2
N. Capraro
D
32
F. Tobio
↑ 67'
D
28
R. Bogarin
M
17
E. Pereyra
↑ 90'
D
24
E. Taborda
F
16
I. A. Guaraz
↑ 67' 🟨 88'
F
Last matches: River Plate
29.07.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
03.07.26
Fri
River Plate
Flamengo
2
2
D
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Racing Club
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Huracan
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Velez Sarsfield
0
1
L
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
13.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
Last matches: Barracas Central
29.07.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Huracan
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Banfield
1
2
L
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
20.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Belgrano Cordoba
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Sarmiento Junin
1
2
L
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
16.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
25.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Tigre
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
09.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
06.02.26
Cop
Barracas Central
Temperley
2
2
D
01.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
0
0
D
24.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
1
L
18.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Fénix
2
0
W
H2H: River Plate vs Barracas Central
25.07.26
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
24.01.26
H2H
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
1
W
12.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
W
10.11.24
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
W
01.02.24
H2H
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
2
W
28.08.23
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
5
1
W
01.07.23
H2H
Barracas Central
River Plate
2
1
L
04.09.22
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
2
0
W
14.07.22
H2H
Barracas Central
River Plate
0
3
W
Last matches: River Plate
18.07.26
Cop
River Plate
Aldosivi
1
3
L
24.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
2
3
L
16.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Rosario Central
1
0
W
14.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
River Plate
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
River Plate
Atletico Tucuman
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Aldosivi
3
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Boca Juniors
0
1
L
05.04.26
Lig
River Plate
Belgrano Cordoba
3
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
River Plate
Sarmiento Junin
2
0
W
26.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Banfield
3
1
W
18.02.26
Cop
River Plate
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
River Plate
Tigre
1
4
L
28.01.26
Lig
River Plate
Gimnasia L.P.
2
0
W
12.01.26
Fri
River Plate
Millonarios
1
0
W
H2H at home: River Plate
25.07.26
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
L
12.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
W
10.11.24
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
W
28.08.23
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
5
1
W
04.09.22
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
2
0
W
Last matches: Barracas Central
25.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Racing Club
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2
1
W
24.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Huracan
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Argentinos JRS
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Platense
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Rosario Central
0
2
L
28.01.26
Lig
Barracas Central
Aldosivi
0
0
D
13.05.19
Pri
Barracas Central
All Boys
1
2
L
29.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
San Miguel
1
1
D
20.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
08.04.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Flandria
0
1
L
25.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
14.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Atlanta
1
1
D
02.03.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
17.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Colegiales
1
0
W
05.02.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
25.01.19
Pri
Barracas Central
Sacachispas
3
1
W
07.12.18
Pri
Barracas Central
Fénix
1
0
W
23.11.18
Pri
Barracas Central
San Telmo
1
0
W
H2H away: Barracas Central
25.07.26
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
0
1
W
12.05.25
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
L
10.11.24
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
3
0
L
28.08.23
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
5
1
L
04.09.22
H2H
River Plate
Barracas Central
2
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W D L D W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L L W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W W W L W
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
D L L W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W L L W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W L W D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L D W L W
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
W L D L D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L L W L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D W L W D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W D W D L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L D D L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
D L W L L
Knockout Phase