BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Rio Branco ES
Match Timeline
Uberlandia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
66'
Rafinha
Uberlandia
84'
Julio Rodrigues
Uberlandia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rio Branco ES Win 40.9%
Draw 4.3%
Uberlandia Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rio Branco ES1.16
Uberlandia1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Uberlandia Uberlandia
WLDWL
12 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
5
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rio Branco ES Rio Branco ES 10 matches
Uberlandia Uberlandia 10 matches
Rio Branco ES Statistic Uberlandia
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
14 Goals For 12
12 Goals Against 8
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Uberlandia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Uberlandia. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Rio Branco ES Analysis

Rio Branco ES come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 13 points from 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 14:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Breninho (3 goals), Victor Braga (3 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Uberlandia Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Uberlandia arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 18 points after 10 matches. The return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by Tomas Bastos (4 goals), Kayke (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rio Branco ES won 0 times, Uberlandia won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Rio Branco ES's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Rio Branco ES wins 0, draws 1, Uberlandia wins 3
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
27.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
2
3
L
23.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
0
0
D
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
Last matches: Uberlandia
12.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
14.06.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
2
3
L
07.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
2
0
W
H2H: Rio Branco ES vs Uberlandia
27.06.26
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
21.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
28.08.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
12.06.21
H2H
Uberlandia
Rio Branco ES
3
2
L
Last matches: Rio Branco ES
14.06.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto BA
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Vitória ES
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Tombense
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Real Noroeste
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Democrata GV
1
1
D
16.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Luverdense
3
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
CFRJ / Maricá
3
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Portuguesa
0
0
D
28.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Água Santa
3
2
W
04.06.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Pouso Alegre
3
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
03.05.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Porto Vitória
2
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Rio Branco ES
Boavista SC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Rio Branco ES
21.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
28.08.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
L
Last matches: Uberlandia
04.07.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Serra Branca
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ivinhema
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
CRAC
0
0
D
09.05.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
2
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
Ipatinga
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Uberlandia
ABECAT Ouvidorense
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cascavel
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Operario Ferroviario
1
1
D
05.07.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Cianorte
2
3
L
31.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Monte Azul
1
2
L
18.05.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Itabirito
3
1
W
26.04.25
Ser
Uberlandia
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
H2H away: Uberlandia
21.06.26
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
W
28.08.21
H2H
Rio Branco ES
Uberlandia
0
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)