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SPAIN › LA LIGA
13.09.2026 19:00
Anoeta
Referee: J. Martinez
Real Sociedad
Match Timeline
Atletico Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Yangel Herrera
Real Sociedad
🔄
59'
A. Baena ↔ J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
Lee Kang-In ↔ Koke
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
M. Llorente ↔ J. David
Atletico Madrid
🔄
72'
A. Barrenetxea ↔ J. Ochieng
Real Sociedad
🔄
72'
G. Guedes ↔ T. Kubo
Real Sociedad
🟨
75'
Johnny Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🔄
76'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
🟨
78'
Mikel Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
🔄
78'
C. Soler ↔ J. Gorrotxategi
Real Sociedad
🔄
79'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ O. Oskarsson
Real Sociedad
⚽
84'
A. Grimaldo
Atletico Madrid
🔄
85'
Y. Herrera ↔ A. Zakharyan
Real Sociedad
⚽
90'
J. David · Assist: A. Grimaldo
Atletico Madrid
⚽
90'
G. Simeone · Assist: D. Hancko
Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad Win 31.3%
Draw 22.7%
Atletico Madrid Win 46%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.47
Atletico Madrid1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WWDLW
16 GF / 20 GA
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
9
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
8
5.4
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 12 matches
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 9 matches
Real Sociedad Statistic Atletico Madrid
4 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
16 Goals For 16
20 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
9 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
5.4 Shots On Goal 4.8
13 Total Shots 14
7.4 Corners 5.2
48.8% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad won 1 times, Atletico Madrid won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Real Sociedad's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.3%)
Predicted formations: Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Madrid 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Real Sociedad 3, Atletico Madrid 3
H2H summary: Real Sociedad wins 1, draws 6, Atletico Madrid wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2