🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.05.2026 01:30
America First Field
Referee: M. Badawi
Real Salt Lake
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
W. Frederick · Assist: P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🟨
34'
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
36'
Z. Gozo · Assist: S. Solans
Real Salt Lake
🔄
52'
J. Travis ↔ R. Holding
Colorado Rapids
🔄
52'
C. Ronan ↔ J. Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
64'
A. Hezarkhani ↔ M. Guilavogui
Real Salt Lake
🔄
64'
Z. Booth ↔ D. Marczuk
Real Salt Lake
🔄
64'
L. Engel ↔ S. Junqua
Real Salt Lake
🟨
67'
Josh Atencio
Colorado Rapids
68'
S. Solans · Assist: J. Sanabria
Real Salt Lake
🟨
73'
Reggie Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🔄
73'
H. Ojediran ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
73'
K. Thompson ↔ R. Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🔄
76'
S. Spierings ↔ G. Dillon
Real Salt Lake
🟨
81'
Zavier Gozo
Real Salt Lake
🔄
84'
M. Navarro ↔ A. Manyoma
Colorado Rapids
🔄
87'
S. Solans ↔ V. Olatunji
Real Salt Lake
🟨
90+3'
DeAndre Yedlin
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Salt Lake Win 77.2%
Draw 0%
Colorado Rapids Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Salt Lake1.86
Colorado Rapids1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WWDLW
29 GF / 22 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
29 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
6.17
Shots on Goal
4.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 15 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 16 matches
Real Salt Lake Statistic Colorado Rapids
8 Wins 6
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 9
29 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 28
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
6.17 Shots On Goal 4.38
15.67 Total Shots 10.85
4.5 Corners 4.77
50.5% Ball Possession 55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Colorado Rapids. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Real Salt Lake arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 19 points compared to Colorado Rapids in 11 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Real Salt Lake expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Colorado Rapids in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

With 19 points from 11 games and a place of 6, Real Salt Lake still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 20:17, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Solans (5 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), Z. Gozo (3 goals), with creative support from Z. Gozo (3 assists), M. Guilavogui (3 assists), J. Sanabria (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 13 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Rafael Navarro (7 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), W. Frederick (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Salt Lake won 8 times, Colorado Rapids won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Real Salt Lake's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 / Colorado Rapids 4-4-2
Missing players: Real Salt Lake 5, Colorado Rapids 4
H2H summary: Real Salt Lake wins 8, draws 2, Colorado Rapids wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)