BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.3%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Potosí Win 82.3%
Draw 4.5%
Real Tomayapo Win 13.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Potosí1.8
Real Tomayapo0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WWDLW
22 GF / 11 GA
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WLDWL
13 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
0.76
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
10
4.08
Shots on Goal
1.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Potosí Real Potosí 15 matches
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 17 matches
Real Potosí Statistic Real Tomayapo
6 Wins 3
6 Draws 3
3 Losses 11
22 Goals For 13
11 Goals Against 39
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
4.08 Shots On Goal 1.54
14.08 Total Shots 4.69
4 Corners 1.77
35.8% Ball Possession 21.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Real Potosí's more proactive style and Real Tomayapo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Real Tomayapo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Real Tomayapo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Tomayapo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Real Potosí arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 24 points compared to Real Tomayapo in 15 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Real Potosí Analysis

Real Potosí come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 24 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 22:11 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

Real Tomayapo sit 15 with 12 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 11:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Real Potosí won 1 times, Real Tomayapo won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Real Potosí's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
H2H summary: Real Potosí wins 1, draws 2, Real Tomayapo wins 0
Last matches: Real Potosí
16.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Always Ready
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
2
0
W
06.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Bolívar
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
15.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
09.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
ABB
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
The Strongest
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Oruro
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
3
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
19.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
0
2
L
16.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
1
2
L
11.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
0
1
L
05.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
1
3
L
02.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
0
5
L
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
14.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
07.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
1
2
L
05.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
0
3
L
31.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
ABB
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
07.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
6
L
24.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
0
D
14.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
0
4
L
01.03.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
5
L
21.02.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
14.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
1
0
W
08.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
5
L
H2H: Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo
14.04.26
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
1
1
D
12.09.21
H2H
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
02.04.21
H2H
Real Tomayapo
Real Potosí
0
0
D
Last matches: Real Potosí
09.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
15.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
09.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
ABB
3
1
W
01.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Oruro
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
3
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
16.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
1
2
L
05.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
1
3
L
02.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
0
5
L
21.11.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Always Ready
3
2
W
26.10.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Jorge Wilstermann
2
2
D
19.10.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
21.09.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Santa Cruz
3
0
W
12.09.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
19.08.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Bolívar
0
2
L
13.08.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
3
1
W
30.07.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Royal Pari
1
3
L
21.07.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Atlético Palmaflor
1
5
L
H2H at home: Real Potosí
12.09.21
H2H
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
Last matches: Real Tomayapo
14.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Guabirá
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
1
4
L
20.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
1
L
07.07.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
6
L
04.04.26
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Always Ready
0
4
L
01.03.26
Fri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
5
L
14.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
08.12.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
4
5
L
28.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Real Oruro
2
5
L
22.11.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Blooming
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Aurora
2
1
W
12.09.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Universitario de Vinto
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Bolívar
0
5
L
12.07.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
The Strongest
0
6
L
28.06.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
27.05.25
Pri
Real Tomayapo
Jorge Wilstermann
0
0
D
H2H away: Real Tomayapo
12.09.21
H2H
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L